Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MIRINAE-16 Off-shore from 25 Jul 2016 12:00 UTC to 27 Jul 2016 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MIRINAE-16

Off-shore

27 Jul 2016 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MIRINAE-16 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	1.5
Overall	83 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 33.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Jul 2016 12:00	83	No people	No people	China
2	25 Jul 2016 18:00	65	No people	No people
3	26 Jul 2016 00:00	74	No people	No people	China
4	26 Jul 2016 06:00	74	No people	No people	Viet Nam, China
5	26 Jul 2016 12:00	74	No people	No people	Viet Nam, China
6	26 Jul 2016 18:00	74	No people	No people	Viet Nam
7	27 Jul 2016 00:00	74	No people	No people	Viet Nam
8	27 Jul 2016 06:00	65	No people	No people
9	27 Jul 2016 12:00	83	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.1, 114.8
2	25 Jul 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	17.2, 114
3	26 Jul 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	890000 people	17.9, 113.1	China
4	26 Jul 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6.9 million people	18.5, 112	China
5	26 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	18.9, 111	China
6	26 Jul 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.2, 109.9	China
7	27 Jul 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	19.7, 108.7	Viet Nam
8	27 Jul 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20, 107.3	Viet Nam
9	27 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	33.6 million people	20.1, 106.3	Viet Nam
9	28 Jul 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20.7, 105	Viet Nam
9	28 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	21.5, 103.9	Viet Nam

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Viet Nam	Thai Binh
Viet Nam	Tuyen Quang
Viet Nam	Lang Son
Viet Nam	Ha Tinh
Viet Nam	Ha Bac
Viet Nam	Ninh Binh
Viet Nam	Hai Hung
Viet Nam	Bac Thai
Laos	Houaphan
Viet Nam	Ha Noi
Viet Nam	Son La
Viet Nam	Hai Phong
Viet Nam	Yen Bai
Viet Nam	Nam Ha
Viet Nam	Hoa Binh
Viet Nam	Quang Ninh
Viet Nam	Vinh Phu
Viet Nam	Nghe An
Viet Nam	Ha Tay
Viet Nam	Thanh Hoa

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hà Noi	Ha Noi	Vietnam	Capital	1.4 million people
Thuy U	Hai Duong	Vietnam	City	-
Ninh Bình	Ninh Binh	Vietnam	City	36000 people
Thái Bình	Thai Binh	Vietnam	City	53000 people
Nam Dinh	Nam Dimh	Vietnam	City	190000 people
Hòa Bình	Hoa Binh	Vietnam	City	110000 people
Cam Pha	Quang Ninh	Vietnam	City	130000 people
Vinh	Nghe An	Vietnam	City	110000 people
Thanh Hóa	Thanh Hoa	Vietnam	City	110000 people
Hai Duong	Hai Duong	Vietnam	City	57000 people
Hai Phòng	Hai Duong	Vietnam	Major city	590000 people
Thái Nguyên	Bac Thai	Vietnam	City	130000 people
Thuan Nghiep	Thai Binh	Vietnam	City	-
Phu Lý	Ha Namh	Vietnam	City	32000 people
Sam Son	Thanh Hoa	Vietnam	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.