Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-16
in Bermuda
25 Sep 2016 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KARL-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bermuda
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (24 Sep 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 176 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 69000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 14 Sep 2016 15:00 74 --- No people
        Green 2 14 Sep 2016 21:00 74 --- No people
        Green 3 15 Sep 2016 03:00 74 --- No people
        Green 4 15 Sep 2016 09:00 74 --- No people
        Green 5 15 Sep 2016 15:00 74 --- No people
        Green 6 15 Sep 2016 21:00 83 --- No people
        Green 7 16 Sep 2016 03:00 111 --- No people
        Green 8 16 Sep 2016 09:00 120 --- No people
        Green 9 16 Sep 2016 15:00 130 --- No people
        Green 10 16 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people
        Green 11 17 Sep 2016 03:00 130 --- No people
        Green 12 17 Sep 2016 09:00 130 --- No people
        Green 13 17 Sep 2016 15:00 130 --- No people
        Green 14 17 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people
        Green 15 18 Sep 2016 03:00 139 --- No people
        Green 16 18 Sep 2016 09:00 139 --- No people
        Green 17 18 Sep 2016 15:00 139 --- No people
        Green 18 18 Sep 2016 21:00 148 --- No people
        Green 19 19 Sep 2016 03:00 148 --- No people
        Green 20 19 Sep 2016 09:00 157 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 21 19 Sep 2016 15:00 148 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 22 19 Sep 2016 21:00 157 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 23 20 Sep 2016 03:00 176 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 24 20 Sep 2016 09:00 167 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 26 20 Sep 2016 21:00 157 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 27 21 Sep 2016 03:00 157 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 28 21 Sep 2016 09:00 139 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 29 21 Sep 2016 15:00 130 --- No people
        Green 30 21 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people
        Green 31 22 Sep 2016 03:00 130 --- No people
        Green 32 22 Sep 2016 09:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 33 22 Sep 2016 15:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 34 22 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 35 23 Sep 2016 03:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 36 23 Sep 2016 09:00 130 --- No people Bermuda, Portugal
        Green 37 23 Sep 2016 15:00 139 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 38 23 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 39 24 Sep 2016 03:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 40 24 Sep 2016 09:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 41 24 Sep 2016 15:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 42 24 Sep 2016 21:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 43 25 Sep 2016 03:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 44 25 Sep 2016 09:00 130 --- No people Bermuda
        Green 45 25 Sep 2016 15:00 111 --- No people Bermuda

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 14 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 20000 people 17, -25 Cape Verde
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.4, -26.5
          GREEN
          		 3 15 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, -27.5
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.6, -29.3
          GREEN
          		 5 15 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.7, -30.4
          GREEN
          		 6 15 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.8, -31.4
          GREEN
          		 7 16 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.9, -32.5
          GREEN
          		 8 16 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.3, -33.4
          GREEN
          		 9 16 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.4, -34.3
          GREEN
          		 10 16 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.8, -35.6
          GREEN
          		 11 17 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.5, -37
          GREEN
          		 12 17 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.2, -38.2
          GREEN
          		 13 17 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.3, -39
          GREEN
          		 14 17 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.1, -40.4
          GREEN
          		 15 18 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.8, -41.3
          GREEN
          		 16 18 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.7, -42.3
          GREEN
          		 17 18 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18, -43.4
          GREEN
          		 18 18 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, -45
          GREEN
          		 19 19 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.3, -46.3
          GREEN
          		 20 19 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.2, -47.7
          GREEN
          		 21 19 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18.6, -48.3
          GREEN
          		 22 19 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.3, -49.2
          GREEN
          		 23 20 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 19.7, -50.5
          GREEN
          		 24 20 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.2, -52.8
          GREEN
          		 25 20 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20, -54.3
          GREEN
          		 26 20 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.1, -55.2
          GREEN
          		 27 21 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 19.9, -56.7
          GREEN
          		 28 21 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.2, -57.6
          GREEN
          		 29 21 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.8, -57.8
          GREEN
          		 30 21 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.9, -58.7
          GREEN
          		 31 22 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.9, -59.6
          GREEN
          		 32 22 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24, -60.7
          GREEN
          		 33 22 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 25, -62.3
          GREEN
          		 34 22 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 25.5, -63.2
          GREEN
          		 35 23 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 27, -64
          GREEN
          		 36 23 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 27.9, -64.8
          GREEN
          		 37 23 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 28.6, -64.8
          GREEN
          		 38 23 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 69000 people 29.9, -65.1 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 39 24 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 69000 people 30.8, -65.1 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 40 24 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 69000 people 31.7, -64.3 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 41 24 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 32.8, -62.7
          GREEN
          		 42 24 Sep 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 33.6, -61.1
          GREEN
          		 43 25 Sep 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 35, -58
          GREEN
          		 44 25 Sep 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 37.5, -53.5
          GREEN
          		 45 25 Sep 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 39.9, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 45 26 Sep 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 45, -39.7
          GREEN
          		 45 26 Sep 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 52.5, -31.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Bermuda

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Bermuda Bermuda

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Hamilton Bermuda Capital <1000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Bermuda International BDA 4 Mil. Paved Yes 9700

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Saint George BMSGE Bermuda
          Hamilton BMBDA Bermuda
          Bermuda Bermuda
          Somerset Bermuda
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Hamilton, Bermuda. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2016 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 45 of 25 Sep 2016 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          24 Sep 2016 09:00 Hamilton Bermuda  0.1