Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SONGDA-16 Off-shore from 08 Oct 2016 06:00 UTC to 12 Oct 2016 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SONGDA-16

Off-shore

12 Oct 2016 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SONGDA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	241 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	08 Oct 2016 06:00	139	---	No people
2	08 Oct 2016 12:00	130	---	No people
3	08 Oct 2016 18:00	148	---	No people
4	09 Oct 2016 00:00	167	---	No people
5	09 Oct 2016 06:00	167	---	No people
6	09 Oct 2016 12:00	157	---	No people
7	09 Oct 2016 18:00	167	---	No people
8	10 Oct 2016 00:00	167	---	No people
9	10 Oct 2016 06:00	185	---	No people
10	10 Oct 2016 12:00	204	---	No people
11	10 Oct 2016 18:00	185	---	No people
12	11 Oct 2016 00:00	185	---	No people
13	11 Oct 2016 06:00	167	---	No people
14	11 Oct 2016 12:00	185	---	No people
15	11 Oct 2016 18:00	241	---	No people
16	12 Oct 2016 00:00	222	---	No people
17	12 Oct 2016 06:00	194	---	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	08 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	19.5, 155.8
2	08 Oct 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	20, 154.3
3	08 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	20.7, 152.6
4	09 Oct 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	21.1, 151.1
5	09 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	22.2, 149.7
6	09 Oct 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	23, 148.4
7	09 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	24, 147.3
8	10 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	24.7, 146.4
9	10 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	25.5, 145.9
10	10 Oct 2016 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	26.4, 145.9
11	10 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	27.2, 145.9
12	11 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	27.8, 146
13	11 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	28.6, 146.7
14	11 Oct 2016 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	29.3, 147.6
15	11 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	30.3, 149
16	12 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 4	222	no people	no people	31.2, 151
17	12 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	32.5, 153.8
17	12 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	36.1, 161.4
17	13 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	39.9, 171.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 12 Oct 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.