Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for COSME-13
in Mexico
27 Jun 2013 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone COSME-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 138 km/h
      Maximum storm surge
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 56 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 138 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        56 km/h Current Max.

        Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 23 Jun 2013 15:00 121 No people No people Mexico
          Green 2 23 Jun 2013 21:00 121 No people No people Mexico
          Green 3 24 Jun 2013 03:00 121 No people No people Mexico
          Green 4 24 Jun 2013 09:00 121 No people No people Mexico
          Green 5 24 Jun 2013 15:00 130 No people No people Mexico
          Green 6 24 Jun 2013 21:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 7 25 Jun 2013 03:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 8 25 Jun 2013 09:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 9 25 Jun 2013 15:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 10 25 Jun 2013 21:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 11 26 Jun 2013 03:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 12 26 Jun 2013 09:00 130 No people No people
          Green 13 26 Jun 2013 15:00 111 No people No people
          Green 14 26 Jun 2013 21:00 93 No people No people
          Green 15 27 Jun 2013 03:00 84 No people No people
          Green 16 27 Jun 2013 09:00 74 No people No people
          Green 17 27 Jun 2013 15:00 64 No people No people
          Green 18 27 Jun 2013 21:00 56 No people No people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 6/23/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.8, -103.8
            green
            		 2 6/23/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12, -103.7
            green
            		 3 6/24/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.6, -104.4
            green
            		 4 6/24/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 12.8, -105.2
            green
            		 5 6/24/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 14.1, -105.8
            green
            		 6 6/24/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15, -107.1
            green
            		 7 6/25/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 15.9, -107.9 Mexico
            green
            		 8 6/25/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people no people 16.5, -109.5 Mexico
            green
            		 9 6/25/2013 3:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people no people 17.7, -110.7 Mexico
            green
            		 10 6/25/2013 9:00:00 PM Category 1 130 no people no people 17.9, -112.4 Mexico
            green
            		 11 6/26/2013 3:00:00 AM Category 1 138 no people no people 17.9, -113.3 Mexico
            green
            		 12 6/26/2013 9:00:00 AM Category 1 130 no people no people 18.4, -114.5
            green
            		 13 6/26/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.1, -115.6
            green
            		 14 6/26/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.3, -116.5
            green
            		 15 6/27/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 19.6, -117.6
            green
            		 16 6/27/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.1, -119.3
            green
            		 17 6/27/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 20.4, -120.9
            green
            		 18 6/27/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.9, -122.6
            green
            		 18 6/28/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.3, -124.9
            green
            		 18 6/28/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 21.5, -127.6
            green
            		 18 6/29/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical depression 47 no people no people 21.5, -130.1
            green
            		 18 6/29/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21.5, -132.6
            green
            		 18 6/30/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21.5, -137
            green
            		 18 7/1/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 22, -140
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Baja California Sur

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0 m

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 27 Jun 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)