Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for PABUK-13 Off-shore from 21 Sep 2013 06:00 UTC to 26 Sep 2013 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PABUK-13

Off-shore

Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PABUK-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	167 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (23 Sep 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	167 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	21 Sep 2013 00:00	130	No people	No people
2	21 Sep 2013 06:00	130	No people	No people
3	21 Sep 2013 12:00	121	No people	No people
4	21 Sep 2013 18:00	148	No people	No people
5	22 Sep 2013 00:00	138	No people	No people
6	22 Sep 2013 06:00	138	No people	No people
7	22 Sep 2013 12:00	138	No people	No people
8	22 Sep 2013 18:00	138	No people	No people
9	23 Sep 2013 00:00	148	No people	No people
10	23 Sep 2013 06:00	148	No people	No people
11	23 Sep 2013 12:00	138	No people	No people
12	23 Sep 2013 18:00	130	No people	No people
13	24 Sep 2013 00:00	121	No people	No people
14	24 Sep 2013 06:00	121	No people	No people
15	24 Sep 2013 12:00	130	No people	No people
16	24 Sep 2013 18:00	167	No people	No people
17	25 Sep 2013 00:00	167	No people	No people
18	25 Sep 2013 06:00	167	No people	No people
19	25 Sep 2013 12:00	167	No people	No people
20	25 Sep 2013 18:00	167	No people	No people
21	26 Sep 2013 00:00	148	No people	No people
22	26 Sep 2013 06:00	111	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	9/21/2013	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	19.6, 145.5
2	9/21/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.3, 145
3	9/21/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.6, 144.4
4	9/21/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.6, 143.7
5	9/22/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	21.2, 143.2
6	9/22/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	22.2, 142.7
7	9/22/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	22.7, 142.1
8	9/22/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	23.1, 141.7
9	9/23/2013	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	23.8, 141.2
10	9/23/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	24.7, 140.9
11	9/23/2013 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	25.2, 140.7
12	9/23/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	25.7, 140
13	9/24/2013	Category 1	121	no people	no people	25.9, 139.6
14	9/24/2013 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	26.1, 139.3
15	9/24/2013 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	130	no people	no people	26.6, 139.1
16	9/24/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	27.7, 138.5
17	9/25/2013	Category 2	167	no people	no people	28.5, 138.6
18	9/25/2013 6:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	29.3, 139.1
19	9/25/2013 12:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	30.2, 140.1
20	9/25/2013 6:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	31, 141.6
21	9/26/2013	Category 1	148	no people	no people	32.2, 143.3
22	9/26/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	33.9, 145.5
22	9/26/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	37.8, 150.2
22	9/27/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	42.8, 155.5

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Higashi, Japan. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2013 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 26 Sep 2013 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	23 Sep 2013 05:00	Higashi	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.