Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for 05-20232024-24 Off-shore from 30 Jan 2024 18:00 UTC to 02 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for 05-20232024-24

Off-shore

30 Jan 2024 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Primary source
GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone 05-20232024-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	162 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (30 Jan 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	162 km/h	0.9 m	254 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	162 km/h	1.8 m	563 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	30 Jan 2024 00:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

563 mm

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Reunion	22,283
50-100 mm	Madagascar, Reunion	220,998	+
	Madagascar	15,310
	Reunion	205,688

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	30 Jan 2024 00:00	639	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Madagascar, Reunion

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Port Douzieme, French Southern and Antarctic Lands. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2024 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jan 2024 07:30	Port Douzieme	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.9
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Port Couvreux	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.9
	30 Jan 2024 03:45	Port-aux-Francais	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.7
	30 Jan 2024 02:15	Port Jeanne d'Arc	French Southern and Antarctic Lands	0.7
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Voloina	Madagascar	0.6
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Manambia	Madagascar	0.6
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.6
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.6
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.6
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.5
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.5
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Benjana	Madagascar	0.5
	30 Jan 2024 10:30	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.4
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.4
	30 Jan 2024 10:30	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.3
	30 Jan 2024 10:30	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.3
	30 Jan 2024 10:45	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.3
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Vohilava	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Ambodifototra	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Lonkintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Lokintsy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Lohatrozona	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Tanambe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:45	Victoria	Seychelles	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:45	Anse Boileau	Seychelles	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 10:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 06:30	Anse Volbert Village	Seychelles	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 06:30	La Reunion	Seychelles	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Mahavanona	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Fenerive	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ampasina	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antakobola	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Analanampotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Antsikafoka	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Mahambo	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:45	Ampasimbe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:45	Manakalana	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:45	Soanierana Ivongo	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:45	Andrangazaha	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 10:15	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Trou aux Biches	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Saint-Antoine	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Mananara	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:30	La Ferme	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:30	Port Mathurin	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 10:15	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Tampina	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Riche-en-Eau	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Riviere du Rempart	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Maheboug	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Grande Reviere Sud Est	Mauritius	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 09:00	Ambodiatafa	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Fandrarazana	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Manompana	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:30	Namahoaka	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:30	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:30	Foulpointe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Vatobe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Denis	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Marie	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Sainte-Suzanne	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Andre	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Bras-Panon	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Benoit	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Antanetilava	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Manambato	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Irodo	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Ampondrabe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Lokia	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Andringahely	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Paul	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Saint-Leu	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Trois Bassins	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Le Port	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	La Possession	Reunion	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antanambe	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambatoharana	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.2
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Maniroka	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antanjokatafana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ratsianarana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ambodivato	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ampondrahazo	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambolobozokely	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambaritsatrana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Vinanivao	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Anaovandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Anjanozana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ampanavoana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:45	Ampisikanana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Ambodihariha	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Antetezambaro	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Ambodimanga	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Vohitsara	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Ambinanysahavary	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 08:45	Taratasy	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Ambinanililabe	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Antseranana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Andasoa	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Amoronjia-Orangea	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ampondra	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antsahotompy	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Amboanio	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ambohitralanana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambatoharanana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Antsisikala	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Antsahalalina	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Andranovondronina	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 05:00	Betsimiranja	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Ambatonjanahary	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Sainte-Rose	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Cascades	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antsirabato	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Anjahamarina	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ambalabe	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Les Avirons	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Etang Sale	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ambodipont-Sahana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ampaha	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Andrapengy	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ambinany	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Antalaha	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Port Louis	Mauritius	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:30	Lotsohina	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Tamatave	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Saint-Philippe	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Saint-Louis	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antanambao	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Andrafiamadinika	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Vohemar	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Petite Ile	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 02:45	Saint-Joseph	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:15	Saint-Pierre	Reunion	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Choisy	Mauritius	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Chemin Grenier	Mauritius	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Souillac	Mauritius	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 03:00	Black River	Mauritius	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Ankarefo	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Marofinaritra	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Mahatsara	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Amborimalana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Farahalana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:00	Antohamaro	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ambanjsondriry	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Masondrono	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Antongompatatra	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Bemanevika	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Sambava	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 09:45	Point Marianne	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 09:45	East Point Plantation	British Indian Ocean Territory	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Ampana Kanana	Madagascar	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 10:30	West Island	Cocos (Keeling) Islands	0.1
	30 Jan 2024 04:15	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.