Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KENNETH-17
Off-shore
18 Aug 2017 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 178 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (19 Aug 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 178 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 178 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Aug 2017 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Aug 2017 18:00 178 - - - - - - -
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Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 18 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Aug 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Aug 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Juan de la Costa, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Aug 2017 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Aug 2017 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Aug 2017 18:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
19 Aug 2017 18:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Aug 2017 18:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Aug 2017 18:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
20 Aug 2017 06:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2017 06:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2017 06:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 16:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 16:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 00:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2017 10:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2017 10:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Aug 2017 10:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 09:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
20 Aug 2017 23:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 00:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 00:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 00:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 00:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Aug 2017 15:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1