Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-18
in India
21 Sep 2018 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (20 Sep 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 61 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 61 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Sep 2018 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Sep 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Rasalpur, India. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2018 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Rasalpur India  0.6
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Chandipur India  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Sandwip Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Dhalapara Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Barabkunda Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Bansbaria Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Kajal Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Andar Char Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Burirchar Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Sibar Char Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Kalmi Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Maya Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Manika Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Kukuri Mukuri Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Ar Kalmi Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Aicha Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 03:45 Char Paila Bangladesh  0.6
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Maitbhanga Bangladesh  0.6
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Bideipur India  0.5
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Kumira Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 05:00 Sitalpur Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 04:00 Char Hare Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 04:00 Neta Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 04:00 Chhota Baisdia Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 08:00 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 08:30 Hatia Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 08:30 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 08:30 Nalchira Bangladesh  0.5
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 03:00 Anowara Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 02:15 Gahira Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 02:15 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Suppanu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 10:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.4
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Harni Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Hazari Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:15 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Chiladi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Baga Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Rabipur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:45 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Bara Pata Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 10:15 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 17:00 Char Manpura Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 17:00 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:15 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:15 Char Ishwar Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 16:30 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 01:00 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 01:00 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 01:00 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 01:00 Magnama Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 00:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Budin Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 00:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 00:15 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:30 Darein Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  0.3
21 Sep 2018 15:30 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  0.3
20 Sep 2018 20:30 Satabhaya India  0.3
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Paung Myanmar  0.2
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Kambhat India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Kavi India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 21:45 Sarod India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:15 Hukitala India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
21 Sep 2018 11:15 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Panasapada India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 22:15 Kuakata Bangladesh  0.2
22 Sep 2018 22:30 Wadgam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Nuliasahi India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Nuagan India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Malud India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Puri India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Balighai India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Nuralrevu India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Gopalpur India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Chatrapur India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Canjam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 09:15 Nizampatam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 19:30 Konarak India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Paluru India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 19:45 Baruva India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Dineshpur Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Koyyam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Dharmavaram India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Chittivalasa India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Bhimunipatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Konada India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 19:15 Dahej India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 19:15 Harinagar India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 19:15 Hansot India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Asarsa India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Tankari India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Muler India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Anauk Myinhlut Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Kyaukpandu Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:15 Hparabyin Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Srikurman India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Kalingapatnam India  0.2
22 Sep 2018 22:00 Ghogha India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 11:45 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:15 Naupada India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 19:45 Vishakhapatnam India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 19:45 Ammalapadu India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Pentakota India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 20:15 Kakinada India  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Ullapalem India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Pakala India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Kottapatnam India  0.2
21 Sep 2018 18:45 Bhagva India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Venkatapuram India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Pudimadaka India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Peddapatnam India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 20:00 Chipurupalle India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 00:00 Gollapalem India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:00 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.1
21 Sep 2018 00:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Tumbru Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Thawinchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Donbaik Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Rathedaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:30 Kudaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 07:45 Durgarajupatnam India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 09:00 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Amaw Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Hpanchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Gyibyin Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Temauk Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 04:45 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
21 Sep 2018 04:45 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 22:45 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Antarvedi India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:45 Apaung Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:45 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:45 Ase Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:45 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:15 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 10:15 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
22 Sep 2018 19:30 Damka India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 19:15 Surat India  0.1
22 Sep 2018 19:15 Jalalpur India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:15 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
21 Sep 2018 00:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 00:15 Govundlapalem India  0.1
21 Sep 2018 16:45 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Kyaukmaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Ponnagyi Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Gwedaukchaung Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Chaunggya Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:45 Peikseik Myanmar  0.1
20 Sep 2018 23:30 Bandamurlanka India  0.1