Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BONGOYO-20
in , Mauritius

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BONGOYO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Dec 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 437 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 104 km/h 0.3 m 437 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

104 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Dec 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Dec 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Dec 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Dec 2020 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Dec 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Dec 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Dec 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 10 Dec 2020 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Dec 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 11 Dec 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Dec 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmReunion17,575 
50-100 mmMauritius, Reunion383,283
+
Mauritius54,000 
Reunion329,283 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Dec 2020 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Dec 2020 00:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Dec 2020 12:00 20 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Dec 2020 00:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Dec 2020 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Dec 2020 00:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Dec 2020 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Dec 2020 00:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Dec 2020 12:00 19 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Dec 2020 00:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Dec 2020 12:00 308 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Riviere du Rempart, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 13 Dec 2020 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.3
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.3
13 Dec 2020 17:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.3
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 17:30 Le Port Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 17:30 La Possession Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Black River Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 17:30 Petite Ile Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Cascades Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:15 Choisy Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 18:30 Souillac Mauritius  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
13 Dec 2020 22:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:45 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
12 Dec 2020 18:45 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2