GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Green Tropical Cyclone alert in Wallis and Futuna for ELLA-17 from 09 May 2017 00:00 UTC to 14 May 2017 12:00 UTC
Storm surge for tropical cyclone ELLA-17
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Green alert for storm surge impact in Wallis and Futuna

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 12 of tropical cyclone ELLA-17 issued at 14 May 2017 12:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000355). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.

Summary

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): No people affected
  • Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 1
  • Maximum sustained wind speed: 139 km/h
  • The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Mua, Wallis and Futuna. This height is estimated for 12 May 2017 02:00:00.

Evolution

Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

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Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Storm surge animation
Storm surge animation (Source: JRC)

Affected locations

Date Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 May 2017 02:00:00 Mua Wallis and Futuna  0.1m
12 May 2017 02:00:00 Leava Wallis and Futuna  0.1m
12 May 2017 02:00:00 Alo Wallis and Futuna  0.1m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 3)
Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 14 May 2017 00:00:00.
(Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model. The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.