Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BAILU-19
in China, Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone BAILU-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000586
Name BAILU-19
From - To 21 Aug - 24 Aug
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (24 Aug 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 74 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 119 km/h 1.3 m 883 mm 0.5
GFS 115 km/h 1.4 m 819 mm 0.5
ECMWF 112 km/h 0.9 m 866 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines, China - Tropical Cyclone BAILU (ECHO 22 Aug 2019)Thu, 22 Aug 2019 12:57

  • Tropical Cyclone BAILU formed in the Philippine Sea, on 19 August, strengthening as it moved north-west. On 22 August at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 750 km east of Luzon Island with maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h (tropical storm).
  • BAILU is forecast to make landfall over the south-east coast of Taiwan on 24 August, bringing heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge.
  • For the next 24 hours, moderate to heavy rain is expected over the Batanes Islands, Cagayan Islands and eastern Luzon.
Philippines and Taiwan, China - Tropical Cyclonme BAILU (ECHO 23 Aug 2019)Fri, 23 Aug 2019 12:59

  • Tropical Cyclone BAILU formed on the Philippine Sea on 19 August and continues to move northwest towards Taiwan. On 23 August at 00.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 400 km east of the northeast coast of Luzon Island (northern Philippines) with a maximum sustained winds of 83 km/h (Tropical Storm).
  • It is forecast to move northwest and  make landfall over the southeast coast of Taiwan in the early morning of 24 August. BAILU will bring heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge.
  • For the next 24 hours, moderate to heavy rain is forecast over the northern islands of the Philippines, while heavy rain with thunderstorms are forecast over Taiwan. The Central Weather Bureau has issued a severe tropical storm warning for Taiwan. 
China, Taiwan, Philippines- Tropical Cyclone BAILU Update (ECHO 26 Aug 2019)Mon, 26 Aug 2019 13:09

  • Tropical Cyclone BAILU made landfall on the southern coast of Fujian Province (eastern China) on the morning of 25 August, bringing heavy rain and strong winds to south-east China. 3 fatalities have been reported (2 in the Philippines, 1 in Taiwan), while several people were injured in northern Philippines and southern Taiwan.
  • More than 48,000 people were evacuated in Fujian, and several flights were cancelled.
  • Red warnings for heavy rainfall and a yellow warning for strong winds have been issued for Hong Kong, Guangxi and Guangdong Provinces. Heavy rainfall will continue to affect south-eastern China, and north and central Taiwan from 26-27 August.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Daily Maps:

23/Aug/2019 04:45 UTC

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),