Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-26 in Guam, Northern Mariana Islands from 01 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC to 04 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

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Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for BAVI-26

in Guam, Northern Mariana Islands

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone BAVI-26 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID	TC 1001279
Name	BAVI-26
From - To	01 Jul - 04 Jul
Exposed countries	Guam, Northern Mariana Islands
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Medium (Guam)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS JTWC	269 km/h	0 m	n.a.	2.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF	270 km/h	0.3 m	974 mm	2.5
GFS	230 km/h	0.9 m	804 mm	2.5
ECMWF	198 km/h	0.7 m	606 mm	1.5

Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.

Virtual OSOCC

Meteo assessment

Satellite products

Analytical products

Detailed event map. European Union, 2026. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

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Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), INFORM (2), (1),

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