Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SAUDEL-20
in Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone SAUDEL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000731
Name SAUDEL-20
From - To 19 Oct - 25 Oct
Exposed countries Viet Nam, China, Philippines, Laos, Thailand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (25 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 46 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 187 km/h 1.1 m 801 mm 0.5
GFS 180 km/h 1.2 m 872 mm 0.5
ECMWF 169 km/h 1.1 m 1202 mm 1.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical depression NINETEEN (ECHO 19 Oct 2020)Mon, 19 Oct 2020 13:02

  • A newly formed tropical depression named NINETEEN (locally known as PEPITO) is moving north-west over the Philippine Sea, towards northern Luzon Island (Philippines). On 19 October, its center was located about 450 km south-east of the central-eastern coast of Samar Island (central Philippines), with maximum sustained wind of 46 km/h. 
  • NINETEEN is forecast to strengthen as it moves north-west over the Philippine Sea. It is expected to make landfall on the morning of 20 October in the eastern coast of northern Luzon, close to Dilasag Municipality (Aurora Province), with maximum sustained wind up to 95 km/h (Tropical Storm). After that, NINETEEN is forecast to emerge in the South China Sea in the early morning of 21 October, as a Tropical Storm. 
  • A Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal no. 1 has been issued for coastal Aurora and Isabela Provinces (north-eastern Luzon). Over the next 24 hours, moderate rain to locally heavy rain is forecast over the central Philippines, from central Luzon to Caraga Region.
Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos – Severe weather and Tropical cyclone SAUDEL update (ECHO 22 Oct 2020)Thu, 22 Oct 2020 13:01

  • In Vietnam, due to the passage of tropical storm LINFA and NANGKA, heavy rainfall is affecting the central part of the country triggering floods and landslides that have resulted in casualties and widespread damage. 
  • The AHA centre reports, as of 21 October, up to 111 fatalities, 22 missing, around 66,500 evacuated and approximately 801,000 affected people. In addition, 160,000 houses, more than 360 schools, and several roads were reported damaged undermining relief efforts. TC SAUDEL is forecast to continue north-west and west-southwest across the South China Sea and will trigger additional heavy rain across the lower Mekong region.
  • In Cambodia, the death toll has increased to 34. About 156,137 households in 14 provinces are affected by flash floods. Houses, infrastructure (roads, schools, health centres) and agricultural land continued to be inundated.
  • In Laos, in Savannakhet province, 125 villages with nearly 30,000 people, have been affected. In the province’s Sepon district alone, 40 villages with nearly 1,000 households have been flooded. 
  • DG ECHO is closely monitoring the situation and evaluating a possible emergency intervention to assist the affected people in the region.
Philippines, China, Vietnam - Tropical cyclone SAUDEL update (ECHO 23 Oct 2020)Fri, 23 Oct 2020 13:05

  • Tropical cyclone SAUDEL is moving west across the South China Sea. On 23 October, its centre was located offshore about 520 km southeast of the eastern coast of Hainan Island (China) with maximum sustained wind of 157 km/h.
  • According to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC), after the passage of SAUDEL over northern Luzon (northern Philippines), more than 28,000 people have been sheltered in evacuation centres and 162,958 affected across the Regions of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Calabarzon.
  • SAUDEL is forecast to pass very close to Hainan Island on 24-25 October and to make landfall over the North Central Coast Region of Vietnam on 25 October with maximum sustained wind up to 110 km/h.
  • On 23-25 October, heavy rain, strong wind and storm surge are forecast over most parts of the coastal area of Hainan and North Central Coast Region of Vietnam.
  • A Yellow Typhoon Warning for Hainan has been issued by the China Meteorological Administration.
Philippines, China, Vietnam - Tropical cyclone SAUDEL update (ECHO 26 Oct 2020)Mon, 26 Oct 2020 11:00

  • Tropical Cyclone SAUDEL made landfall over central Quang Bình Province (central Vietnam) on 25 October as a tropical depression bringing heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge.
  • 700 families were evacuated in Quang Binh Province and travel disruption across Hainan Island (China). According to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council, more than 31,000 people were sheltering in evacuation centres and 165,763 affected across the Regions of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Calabarzon (Philippines).
  • For the next 24 hours, heavy rain and strong winds are forecast over most parts North Central Coast Region of Vietnam.
  • Typhoon MOLAVE is also forecast to make landfall over Quang Ngai Province bringing more heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Typhoon Molave - Oct 2020 10/29/2020 10:17:00 AM.

Tropical Cyclone MOLAVE (QUINTA in the Philippines) made landfall over southern Luzon close to Lagazpi City on 25 October as a typhoon. On 26 October, its centre was 43 km west of Mindoro with maximum sustained wind of 139 km/h. According t
...(more)
Typhoon-battered Philippines bracing for another strengthening tropica.. 10/29/2020 5:26:00 AM.

After a brutal blow from Typhoon Molave, many of the hardest-hit communities in the Philippines will have little time to recover as another tropical system sets its sights on the nation. Early Wednesday morning, local time, the Japan Meteor
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Inondations au Centre : message de sympathie du Roi et de la Reine de .. 10/28/2020 5:13:00 AM.

Le roi thaïlandais Maha Vajiralongorn et sa reine ont envoyé le 26 octobre un message de sympathie au secrétaire général du Parti communiste et président du Vietnam Nguyen Phu Trong à la nouvelle des pertes humaines et matérielles provoquée
...(more)
Vietnam’s flood woes 10/28/2020 5:08:00 AM.

“Everything happened right in front of my eyes, but I couldn’t save her,” he said by phone Thursday. “All I could do was scream.” Video from the scene in Thua Thien Hue province has ricocheted across social media, generating an outpouring o
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),