Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MITAG-25
in Philippines, China

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MITAG-25 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1001209
Name MITAG-25
Glide number: TC-2025-000167-PHL
From - To 16 Sep - 19 Sep
Exposed countries Philippines, China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h Tropical storm
Maximum storm surge 1 m (19 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 83 km/h 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 108 km/h 0.6 m 489 mm 0.5
GFS 191 km/h 0.8 m 582 mm 1.5
ECMWF 194 km/h 0.7 m 585 mm 1.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines, China - Tropical cyclone TWENTYTHREE and landslide (ECHO 22 Sep 2025)Wed, 17 Sep 2025 10:04

  • A new tropical cyclone named TWENTYTHREE - MIRASOL for Philippine authorities - formed over the western Philippine Sea, made landfall on the eastern coast of Aurora Province, northeastern Luzon, and is moving northwestward inland across northern Luzon, northern Philippines. On 17 September at 06:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 9 km west of San Mateo, Isabela Province, Cagayan Valley region with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h (tropical depression).
  • TWENTYTHREE is forecast to continue northwest, crossing northern Luzon as a tropical depression. It will then move over the northern South China Sea, potentially strengthening, and it could make landfall along the southeastern coast of Guangdong Province on 19–20 September.
  • Meanwhile, on 14 September, a landslide triggered by heavy rainfall occurred in Agusan del Sur, northern Mindanao, southern Philippines, resulting in three fatalities and three missing persons.
  • For the next 48 hours, heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected across most of the central and northern Philippines, where flood warnings are in effect.

 

Philippines, China - Tropical storm TWENTYTHREE, update (ECHO 23 Sep 2025)Thu, 18 Sep 2025 10:33

  • Tropical Storm TWENTYTHREE (Mirasol in the Philippines) crossed northern Luzon, northern Philippines on 16–17 September and is moving northwest over the South China Sea toward the southeastern coast of China. On 18 September at 06:00 UTC, its centre was located over the sea approximately 310 km south of the southern coasts of Taiwan, with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • Its passage over northern Luzon affected more than 63,000 people and displaced nearly 800 individuals across at least five regions, primarily in Luzon Island.
  • TWENTYTHREE is expected to strengthen as a tropical storm while continuing its northwest trajectory and is forecast to make landfall along the southeastern coast of Guangdong Province, near Hong Kong, on 19 September.
  • On 18–20 September, heavy to very heavy rainfall will occur in southeastern China, while moderate to locally heavy rainfall is expected across most of the Philippines.
  • Additionally, a new tropical cyclone- named Nando in the Philippines - formed over the central Philippine Sea, is moving north-west and is projected to cross the northern islands of the Philippines, Babuyan and Batanes on 23 September.

 

Philippines, China - Tropical cyclone MITAG and RAGASA, update (ECHO 24 Sep 2025)Fri, 19 Sep 2025 09:49

  • Tropical storm MITAG continued north-west over the South China Sea toward the southern Guangdong province, Southern China on 18 September, slightly strengthening. On 19 September at 0.00 UTC its centre was located approximately 165 km east of the Shenzhen city area, Guangdong province.
  • The passage of MITAG over central-northern Philippines caused very heavy rainfall, strong winds, floods and landslides. DSWD DROMIC reports, as of 19 September, nearly 8,200 displaced people, around 92,300 affected people, five destroyed and 11 damaged houses.
  • Meanwhile, a new tropical cyclone named RAGASA ("Nando" in the Philippines) formed over the Philippine Sea on 18 September and started moving north-west toward northern Philippines. On 19 September at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located offshore approximately 950 km east of northern Luzon as a tropical storm. It is forecast to strengthen and to pass over the Babuyan and the Batanes islands, far northern Philippines on 22 September, with maximum sustained winds up to 222 km/h (typhoon).
  • Over the next 72 hours, heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines and southern China.
Philippines, China, Taiwan - Tropical cyclones MITAG and RAGASA, update (ECHO 27 Sep 2025)Mon, 22 Sep 2025 10:29

  • Tropical cyclone RAGASA continued north-west over the Philippine Sea on 21 September toward northern Philippines, strengthening. On 22 September at 3.00 UTC, its centre was located over the Luzon Strait and the Babuyan islands, with maximum sustained winds of 269 km/h (super typhoon).
  • The passage of RAGASA and the passage of the previous tropical storm MITAG over central-northern Luzon island, northern Philippines on 16-17 September, combined with the ongoing Southwest monsoon, caused very heavy rainfall, strong winds, floods, landslides and severe weather-related incidents. Taiwan was also affected by the severe weather.
  • DSWD DROMIC and the PNA report, as of 22 September, 6,941 displaced and 113,094 affected people, seven destroyed and 14 damaged houses. Media report seven fatalities and a number of missing people due to MITAG. Moreover, 300 preventively evacuated people in southern Taiwan due to RAGASA have been reported.
  • RAGASA is expected to continue westward over the South China Sea, slightly weakening, and to make landfall over the southern Guangdong province, southern China, on 24 September.
  • Over the next 96 hours, very heavy rainfall, strong winds and storm surges are forecast over central and northern Philippines, southern China and most of Taiwan.
MITAG-25 - EC/ECHO daily mapMon, 22 Sep 2025 17:15

A new EC/ECHO daily map is now available
Detailed event map. European Union, 2025. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

ASEAN Weekly Disaster Update Week 38 | 15 - 21 September 2025 9/22/2025 9:59:00 PM.

REGIONAL SUMMARY: During the thirty-eighth week of 2025, a total of 22 disaster events were reported across ASEAN region. These included droughts, floods, landslides, storms, and wind-related disasters affecting Indonesia, Malaysia, the Phi
...(more)
WEEKLY DISASTER UPDATE 15 – 21 September 2025 9/22/2025 7:23:00 PM.

REGIONAL SUMMARY: During the thirty-eighth week of 2025, a total of 22 disaster events were reported across ASEAN region. These included droughts, floods, landslides, storms, and wind-related disasters affecting Indonesia, Malaysia, the Phi
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),