Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAFAEL-12
in Bermuda, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Canada

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone RAFAEL-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 33086
Name RAFAEL-12
From - To 12 Oct - 17 Oct
Exposed countries Bermuda, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, U.S., Canada
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
JRC 121 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
ECMWF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 227 | About casualties: 0 | Last hour: 0

Hurricane Paul Weakens near Mexico; Rafael to Miss BermudaThu, 18 Oct 2012 14:58:00 +0200.

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Hurricane Paul was weakening rapidly as it neared a sparsely populated area of Mexico's Baja peninsula, while Hurricane Rafael was expected to pass Bermuda in the Atlantic, the U.S. [More]
Rafael degenerates to extratropical cycloneThu, 18 Oct 2012 09:00:00 +0200.

MIAMI, Oct. 17 (UPI) -- Hurricane Rafael degenerated to an extratropical cyclone Wednesday with no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
EMO to meet Monday over RafaelWed, 17 Oct 2012 20:51:00 +0200.

The Emergency Measures organization has advised residents that Bermuda is under a Tropical Storm Watch on Sunday.
Hurricane Rafael spares BermudaWed, 17 Oct 2012 19:41:00 +0200.

BRIDGETOWN, Barbados (CMC) Bermuda was spared the wrath of Hurricane Rafael as it passed east of the island Tuesday night.

View more news

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (46), (2), INFORM (2),