Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BANSI-15 in Mauritius from 11 Jan 2015 18:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2015 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BANSI-15

in Mauritius

18 Jan 2015 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BANSI-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mauritius
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	278 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (15 Jan 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mauritius)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	74 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	278 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	11 Jan 2015 06:00	148	No people	No people
2	11 Jan 2015 18:00	222	1.2 million	No people
3	12 Jan 2015 06:00	232	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
4	12 Jan 2015 18:00	278	370 thousand	No people	Mauritius
5	13 Jan 2015 06:00	259	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
6	13 Jan 2015 18:00	259	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
7	14 Jan 2015 06:00	212	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
8	14 Jan 2015 18:00	212	20 thousand	40 thousand	Mauritius
9	15 Jan 2015 06:00	269	40 thousand	40 thousand	Mauritius
10	15 Jan 2015 18:00	212	40 thousand	No people	Mauritius
11	16 Jan 2015 06:00	241	40 thousand	6 thousand	Mauritius
12	16 Jan 2015 18:00	204	No people	6 thousand
13	17 Jan 2015 06:00	175	No people	6 thousand
14	17 Jan 2015 18:00	138	No people	4 thousand
15	18 Jan 2015 06:00	121	No people	4 thousand
16	18 Jan 2015 18:00	74	No people	6 thousand

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	11 Jan 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-16.3, 54.7
2	11 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-17.1, 55.1
3	12 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	-17.2, 55.9
4	12 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 4	241	no people	370000 people	-17.6, 56.8	Mauritius
5	13 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	-17.3, 57.6
6	13 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	-17.3, 58.1
7	14 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-17.3, 58.5
8	14 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-17.4, 59.6
9	15 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 4	222	no people	38000 people	-18, 60.7	Mauritius
10	15 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	38000 people	-18.3, 62.9	Mauritius
11	16 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	38000 people	-20, 65.3	Mauritius
12	17 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-23.8, 68.5
13	17 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	-23.8, 68.5
14	17 Jan 2015 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	-24.8, 72.1
15	18 Jan 2015 06:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	-25.4, 75.9
16	18 Jan 2015 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-27.6, 82
16	19 Jan 2015 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-31.7, 89.5

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Port Mathurin, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 15 Jan 2015 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (2 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 18 Jan 2015 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Jan 2015 23:00	Port Mathurin	Mauritius	0.2
	16 Jan 2015 01:00	La Ferme	Mauritius	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.