Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for PAM-15
in Vanuatu
09 Mar 2015 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone PAM-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Vanuatu
    Exposed population 90 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 278 km/h
    Maximum storm surge
    Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 222 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 278 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 09 Mar 2015 06:00 222 No people No people
        Green 2 09 Mar 2015 12:00 222 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -8.5, 169.8
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -8.4, 170.3
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -9, 170.7
          GREEN
          		 2 10 Mar 2015 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -9.9, 170.9
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2015 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -10.9, 171.1
          GREEN
          		 2 11 Mar 2015 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -11.8, 171.3
          GREEN
          		 2 12 Mar 2015 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -14.9, 172
          GREEN
          		 2 13 Mar 2015 12:00 Category 4 222 no people no people -18.9, 173.4
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Mar 2015 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people -25.2, 177.9
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0 m

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of Fri, 13 Mar 2015 11:00:00 GMT UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)