Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ANA-15 in United States from 08 May 2015 03:00 UTC to 10 May 2015 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANA-15

in United States

10 May 2015 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANA-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	08 May 2015 03:00	84	No people	No people	United States
2	08 May 2015 09:00	84	80 thousand	No people	United States
3	08 May 2015 15:00	84	260 thousand	No people	United States
4	08 May 2015 21:00	84	20 thousand	No people	United States
6	09 May 2015 09:00	93	620 thousand	No people	United States
7	09 May 2015 15:00	93	930 thousand	No people	United States
8	09 May 2015 21:00	93	1.9 million	No people	United States
9	10 May 2015 03:00	93	2.3 million	No people	United States
10	10 May 2015 09:00	74	4.8 million	No people	United States
11	10 May 2015 15:00	64	No people	No people	United States
12	10 May 2015 21:00	56	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	08/May/2015 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	44000 people	31.5, -77.6	United States
2	08/May/2015 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	44000 people	31.6, -77.8	United States
3	08/May/2015 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.5, -77.3
4	08/May/2015 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	200000 people	31.7, -77.4	United States
6	09/May/2015 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	670000 people	32.4, -77.6	United States
7	09/May/2015 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.3 million people	32.7, -77.9	United States
8	09/May/2015 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	1.8 million people	32.9, -78.3	United States
9	10/May/2015 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	3.2 million people	33.2, -78.3	United States
10	10/May/2015 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	4.5 million people	33.8, -78.7	United States
11	10/May/2015 15:00	Tropical storm	64	no people	4.7 million people	34.1, -78.9	United States
12	10/May/2015 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	34.4, -78.6
12	11/May/2015 06:00	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	35.3, -78
12	11/May/2015 18:00	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	37, -76.2
12	12/May/2015 06:00	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	39.3, -73.3
12	12/May/2015 18:00	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	42, -68

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
United States	South Carolina
United States	North Carolina

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Raleigh	North Carolina	United States	Major city	280000 people
Wilmington	North Carolina	United States	City	76000 people
Florence	South Carolina	United States	City	30000 people
Charleston	South Carolina	United States	City	97000 people
Chapel Hill	North Carolina	United States	City	49000 people
Wilson	North Carolina	United States	City	44000 people
Goldsboro	North Carolina	United States	City	39000 people
Fayetteville	North Carolina	United States	City	120000 people
North Charleston	South Carolina	United States	City	80000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.