Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOAQUIN-15
in Bahamas

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOAQUIN-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Bahamas
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 185 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Wind

185 km/h Current

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 56 No people No people
Green 2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 65 No people No people
Green 3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 74 No people No people
Green 4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 83 No people No people
Green 5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 102 380 thousand No people United States
Green 6 29 Sep 2015 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 7 29 Sep 2015 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 29 Sep 2015 21:00 148 Few people affected No people Bahamas
Green 9 30 Sep 2015 03:00 167 5 thousand No people Bahamas
Green 10 30 Sep 2015 09:00 176 30 thousand No people Bahamas, United States
Green 11 30 Sep 2015 15:00 185 4.2 million Few people affected Bahamas

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -68.7
GREEN
2 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.3, -68.9
GREEN
3 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.8, -69.6
GREEN
4 28 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.5, -70.2
GREEN
5 29 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.7, -70.4
GREEN
6 29 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.6, -70.6
GREEN
7 29 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26.5, -70.8
GREEN
8 29 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26, -71
GREEN
9 30 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.8, -71.7
GREEN
10 30 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 <1000 people no people 25.4, -72.5
GREEN
11 30 Sep 2015 15:00 Category 1 130 1300 people no people 24.7, -72.6
GREEN
11 01 Oct 2015 00:00 Category 1 148 9400 people <1000 people 24.3, -73.2
GREEN
11 01 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 157 15000 people <1000 people 24.1, -74
GREEN
11 02 Oct 2015 00:00 Category 2 167 19000 people <1000 people 24.4, -74.4
GREEN
11 02 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 176 18000 people no people 25.3, -74.5
GREEN
11 03 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 28.5, -73.5
GREEN
11 04 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 2 167 4.2 million people no people 34, -73
GREEN
11 05 Oct 2015 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 38.5, -74
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Bahamas Bahamas 270000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
San Salvador ZSA 3 Civ. Paved No 4500

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cockburn Town The Bahamas

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of Sat, 03 Oct 2015 13:00:00 GMT UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)