Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KATE-15 Off-shore from 09 Nov 2015 03:00 UTC to 11 Nov 2015 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KATE-15

Off-shore

11 Nov 2015 03 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATE-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (15 Nov 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Nov 2015 03:00	83	No people	No people	Bahamas
2	09 Nov 2015 09:00	83	No people	No people	Bahamas
3	09 Nov 2015 15:00	102	No people	No people	Bahamas
4	09 Nov 2015 21:00	102	No people	No people	Bahamas
5	10 Nov 2015 03:00	111	No people	No people	Bahamas
6	10 Nov 2015 09:00	120	No people	No people	Bahamas
7	10 Nov 2015 15:00	130	No people	No people	Bahamas
8	10 Nov 2015 21:00	130	No people	No people	Bahamas, Canada, Iceland
9	11 Nov 2015 03:00	120	No people	No people	Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Bahamas, Canada

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Nov 2015 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1100 people	23, -73	Bahamas
2	09 Nov 2015 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	6200 people	23.6, -74.6	Bahamas
3	09 Nov 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	17000 people	24.5, -75.3	Bahamas
4	09 Nov 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	170000 people	25.5, -76.1	Bahamas
5	10 Nov 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	27.2, -76
6	10 Nov 2015 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	28.8, -75.8
7	10 Nov 2015 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	30.2, -74.7
8	10 Nov 2015 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	32.2, -72.7
9	11 Nov 2015 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	33.9, -69.5
9	11 Nov 2015 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	36, -64
9	12 Nov 2015 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	38.9, -55.7
9	12 Nov 2015 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	330000 people	41.6, -50.8	Canada
9	13 Nov 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	330000 people	42.6, -49.4	Canada
9	14 Nov 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	44, -41
9	15 Nov 2015 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	50, -28

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Aghleam, Ireland. This height is estimated for 15 Nov 2015 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (61 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 12 Nov 2015 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Aghleam	Ireland	0.2
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Binghamstown	Ireland	0.2
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Beal an Mhuirhead	Ireland	0.2
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Ballyconneely	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Ballinaboy	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Doohooma	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Kilkieran	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Lettermullan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Lettermore	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Carrigaholt	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Ballybunion	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Doonaha	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Beal	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Roundstone	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Corraun	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Killadoon	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Ard	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Carna	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Louisburgh	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Mullagh	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Carraroe	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Rossaveel	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Costelloe	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Spiddle	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Murroogh	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Seershin	Ireland	0.1
	10 Nov 2015 17:00	Bethune Beach	United States	0.1
	10 Nov 2015 17:00	Eldora	United States	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Dooagh	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Cleggan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Keel	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Doogort	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	An Clochan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Moyard	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Rinvyle	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Letterfrack	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Gowlaun	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Glinsk	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Onaght	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Mallaranny	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Rosturk	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Kilronan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Killeany	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Derryrush	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Bealadangan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Rosmuck	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Gortmore	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Inveran	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Quilty	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Spanish Point	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Mullagh	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Milltown Malbay	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Rinneen	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Lahinch	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Barna	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Ballyvaughan	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Dooega	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Camport	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Achill Sound	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Liscannor	Ireland	0.1
	15 Nov 2015 06:00	Roadford	Ireland	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.