Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for STAN-16
Off-shore
30 Jan 2016 18 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone STAN-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (30 Jan 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability --

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 130 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 17000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 29 Jan 2016 00:00 102 --- No people Australia
        Green 2 29 Jan 2016 06:00 111 --- No people Australia
        Green 3 29 Jan 2016 12:00 102 --- No people Australia
        Green 4 29 Jan 2016 18:00 130 --- Few people Australia
        Green 5 30 Jan 2016 00:00 130 --- Few people Australia
        Green 6 30 Jan 2016 06:00 130 --- No people Australia
        Green 8 30 Jan 2016 18:00 102 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 29 Jan 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.6, 117.5
          GREEN
          		 2 29 Jan 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.8, 117.8
          GREEN
          		 3 29 Jan 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 14000 people -18.2, 118 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 29 Jan 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people -18, 118.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 30 Jan 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 15000 people -18.3, 118.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 30 Jan 2016 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 16000 people -18.7, 118.8 Australia
          GREEN
          		 7 30 Jan 2016 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 16000 people -19.1, 119 Australia
          GREEN
          		 8 30 Jan 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 16000 people -20.1, 119.5 Australia
          GREEN
          		 8 31 Jan 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people -22.4, 121 Australia
          GREEN
          		 8 31 Jan 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -25.7, 123.7 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Provinces

          Country Region Province
          Australia Western Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Wedgefield Western Australia Australia City -
          Port Hedland Western Australia Australia City 14000 people
          South Hedland Western Australia Australia City -
          Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.8 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Condon, Australia. This height is estimated for 30 Jan 2016 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (14 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 30 Jan 2016 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          30 Jan 2016 16:00 Condon Australia  0.8
          29 Jan 2016 14:00 Derby Australia  0.4
          29 Jan 2016 13:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
          29 Jan 2016 13:00 Pender Australia  0.2
          30 Jan 2016 03:00 Wickham Australia  0.2
          30 Jan 2016 03:00 Point Samson Australia  0.2
          30 Jan 2016 03:00 Cossack Australia  0.2
          29 Jan 2016 12:00 Broome Australia  0.2
          29 Jan 2016 13:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
          29 Jan 2016 13:00 Kollan I Australia  0.1
          29 Jan 2016 12:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
          30 Jan 2016 05:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
          30 Jan 2016 05:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
          30 Jan 2016 05:00 Mardie Australia  0.1