Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ESTELLE-16 Off-shore from 15 Jul 2016 15:00 UTC to 22 Jul 2016 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ESTELLE-16

Off-shore

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ESTELLE-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	157 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	65 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	157 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	15 Jul 2016 15:00	148	No people	No people
2	15 Jul 2016 21:00	139	No people	No people
3	16 Jul 2016 03:00	148	No people	No people
4	16 Jul 2016 09:00	157	No people	No people
5	16 Jul 2016 15:00	157	No people	No people
6	16 Jul 2016 21:00	157	No people	No people
7	17 Jul 2016 03:00	157	No people	No people
8	17 Jul 2016 09:00	157	No people	No people
9	17 Jul 2016 15:00	157	No people	No people
10	17 Jul 2016 21:00	148	No people	No people
11	18 Jul 2016 03:00	139	No people	No people
12	18 Jul 2016 09:00	139	No people	No people
13	18 Jul 2016 15:00	139	No people	No people
14	18 Jul 2016 21:00	130	No people	No people
15	19 Jul 2016 03:00	120	No people	No people
16	19 Jul 2016 09:00	120	No people	No people
17	19 Jul 2016 15:00	120	No people	No people
18	19 Jul 2016 21:00	102	No people	No people
19	20 Jul 2016 03:00	120	No people	No people
20	20 Jul 2016 09:00	111	No people	No people
21	20 Jul 2016 15:00	111	No people	No people
22	20 Jul 2016 21:00	111	No people	No people
23	21 Jul 2016 03:00	102	No people	No people
24	21 Jul 2016 09:00	93	No people	No people
25	21 Jul 2016 15:00	93	No people	No people
26	21 Jul 2016 21:00	83	No people	No people
27	22 Jul 2016 03:00	74	No people	No people
28	22 Jul 2016 09:00	65	No people	No people
29	22 Jul 2016 15:00	65	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	15 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14, -106.3
2	15 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.8, -107.2
3	16 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.2, -108.3
4	16 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.6, -109
5	16 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.7, -109
6	16 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.8, -109.7
7	17 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.1, -110.4
8	17 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	16.2, -111.1
9	17 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, -111.8
10	17 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	16.5, -112.5
11	18 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17, -113.2
12	18 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17.2, -114
13	18 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17.7, -114.9
14	18 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	17.8, -115.8
15	19 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.3, -116.5
16	19 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.5, -117.6
17	19 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.8, -118.8
18	19 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	19, -119.8
19	20 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	19.1, -121
20	20 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	19, -122
21	20 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	19.2, -123.3
22	20 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	19.4, -124.4
23	21 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	19.5, -125.5
24	21 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.8, -126.9
25	21 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	20.1, -128.1
26	21 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.7, -129.7
27	22 Jul 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21, -130.9
28	22 Jul 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.5, -132
29	22 Jul 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.8, -133.5
29	23 Jul 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.6, -135.4
29	23 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	23.7, -137.9
29	24 Jul 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	24.7, -140.4
29	24 Jul 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	25.8, -142.9

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 29 of 22 Jul 2016 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.