Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for HOWARD-16 Off-shore from 31 Jul 2016 16:30 UTC to 03 Aug 2016 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-16

Off-shore

03 Aug 2016 21 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	31 Jul 2016 16:30	93	No people	No people
2	31 Jul 2016 21:00	83	No people	No people
3	01 Aug 2016 03:00	83	No people	No people
4	01 Aug 2016 09:00	83	No people	No people
5	01 Aug 2016 15:00	102	No people	No people
6	01 Aug 2016 21:00	93	No people	No people
7	02 Aug 2016 03:00	93	No people	No people
8	02 Aug 2016 09:00	93	No people	No people
9	02 Aug 2016 15:00	93	No people	No people
10	02 Aug 2016 21:00	93	No people	No people
11	03 Aug 2016 03:00	83	No people	No people
12	03 Aug 2016 09:00	74	No people	No people
13	03 Aug 2016 15:00	65	No people	No people
14	03 Aug 2016 21:00	56	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	31 Jul 2016 16:30	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.2, -120.5
2	31 Jul 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.4, -121.2
3	01 Aug 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.8, -122
4	01 Aug 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	16.1, -122.9
5	01 Aug 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.7, -123.6
6	01 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.2, -125.3
7	02 Aug 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	17.7, -126.4
8	02 Aug 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.3, -127.6
9	02 Aug 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.8, -128.9
10	02 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	19.3, -130.2
11	03 Aug 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	20.1, -131.3
12	03 Aug 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	20.3, -132.6
13	03 Aug 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	21.1, -133.8
14	03 Aug 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.3, -135.2
14	04 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	21.7, -137.4
14	04 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.1, -140.2
14	05 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.3, -143.2
14	05 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22.3, -146
14	06 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	22, -151.5
14	07 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	21.5, -156.5	United States

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.