Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LIONROCK-16 Off-shore from 18 Aug 2016 00:00 UTC to 20 Aug 2016 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LIONROCK-16

Off-shore

20 Aug 2016 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LIONROCK-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (19 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 16000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	102	Few people	No people
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	102	Few people	No people
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	120	Few people	No people
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	102	170 thousand	No people	Japan
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	102	20 thousand	No people	Japan
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	102	200 thousand	No people	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	102	10 thousand	No people
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	111	10 thousand	No people
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	111	20 thousand	No people
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	111	20 thousand	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	18 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	29, 151.9
2	18 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30, 149.9
3	18 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30.8, 148.6
4	18 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.3, 146.8
5	19 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.8, 144.9
6	19 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	100000 people	33.1, 142.7	Japan
7	19 Aug 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	11000 people	32.7, 141.2
8	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	8800 people	32.4, 139.8
9	20 Aug 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	32, 138.4
10	20 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.4, 137
10	20 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	30.7, 135
10	21 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	30.2, 133.4
10	21 Aug 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	29.9, 132.7
10	22 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	29.4, 132.4
10	23 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	28.7, 132.3
10	24 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	5400 people	28.1, 131.9
10	25 Aug 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	27.8, 131

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Mitsune	Shizuoka	Japan	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Hachijo Jima	HAC	92	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Miyake Jima	MYE	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aoga Island		Japan
Yaene		Japan
Mikura		Japan
Miyake		Japan

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Aogashima, Japan. This height is estimated for 19 Aug 2016 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (27 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 26 of 24 Aug 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Aogashima	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 18:00	Yasundogo	Japan	0.2
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Kami-Shigeoka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Ide	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Tomioka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Oragahama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 07:00	Futaba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hokota	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Katsuori	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Taiyo	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Otake	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Dainigorisawa	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Muyokama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Omi	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyochikama	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Hamatsuga	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Aotsuka	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kyuchu	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Kashima	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Koya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Asahi Yokaichiba	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Okunoya	Japan	0.1
	19 Aug 2016 11:00	Yatabe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Buzen	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Higashiyoshitomi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Nakatsu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2016 01:00	Imazu	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.