Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAY-16
in Mexico
23 Aug 2016 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone KAY-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
    Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      56 km/h Current Max.

      Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 18 Aug 2016 21:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 2 19 Aug 2016 03:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 3 19 Aug 2016 09:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 4 19 Aug 2016 15:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 5 19 Aug 2016 21:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 6 20 Aug 2016 03:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 7 20 Aug 2016 09:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 8 20 Aug 2016 15:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 9 20 Aug 2016 21:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 10 21 Aug 2016 03:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 11 21 Aug 2016 09:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 12 21 Aug 2016 15:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 13 21 Aug 2016 21:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 14 22 Aug 2016 03:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 15 22 Aug 2016 09:00 83 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 16 22 Aug 2016 15:00 74 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 17 22 Aug 2016 21:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 18 23 Aug 2016 03:00 65 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 19 23 Aug 2016 09:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 20 23 Aug 2016 15:00 56 Few people No people Mexico
        Green 21 23 Aug 2016 21:00 56 Few people No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people 17.8, -110.1 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 2 19 Aug 2016 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people <1000 people 17.8, -110.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 19 Aug 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 18.4, -110.9 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 4 19 Aug 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 19.1, -111.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 5 19 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people <1000 people 18.8, -111.7 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 6 20 Aug 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19.2, -112.4
          GREEN
          		 7 20 Aug 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19.5, -113
          GREEN
          		 8 20 Aug 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.2, -112.6
          GREEN
          		 9 20 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.3, -113.1
          GREEN
          		 10 21 Aug 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 20.6, -113.3
          GREEN
          		 11 21 Aug 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.9, -114.1
          GREEN
          		 12 21 Aug 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.2, -114.6
          GREEN
          		 13 21 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.5, -115.3
          GREEN
          		 14 22 Aug 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 21.8, -115.9
          GREEN
          		 15 22 Aug 2016 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.2, -116.6
          GREEN
          		 16 22 Aug 2016 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 22, -117.1
          GREEN
          		 17 22 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22, -118
          GREEN
          		 18 23 Aug 2016 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22, -118.8
          GREEN
          		 19 23 Aug 2016 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22, -119.3
          GREEN
          		 20 23 Aug 2016 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.7, -120.1
          GREEN
          		 21 23 Aug 2016 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, -121.1
          GREEN
          		 21 24 Aug 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 23.6, -122.5
          GREEN
          		 21 24 Aug 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 23.7, -124.3
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Baja California Sur Mexico

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Isla Socorro 100 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Roca Partido Island Mexico
          Socorro Island Mexico
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.