Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for JULIA-16 in United States from 14 Sep 2016 03:00 UTC to 19 Sep 2016 03:00 UTC

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	46 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.7 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 Sep 2016 03:00	65	---	No people	United States
2	14 Sep 2016 09:00	65	---	No people	United States
3	14 Sep 2016 15:00	65	---	No people	United States
4	14 Sep 2016 21:00	74	---	No people	United States
5	15 Sep 2016 03:00	74	---	No people	United States
6	15 Sep 2016 09:00	56	---	No people	United States
7	15 Sep 2016 15:00	56	---	No people	United States
8	15 Sep 2016 21:00	65	---	No people	United States
9	16 Sep 2016 03:00	65	---	No people	United States
10	16 Sep 2016 09:00	65	---	No people	United States
11	16 Sep 2016 15:00	65	---	No people	United States
12	16 Sep 2016 21:00	65	---	No people	United States
13	17 Sep 2016 03:00	56	---	No people	United States
14	17 Sep 2016 09:00	46	---	No people	United States
15	17 Sep 2016 15:00	46	---	No people	United States
16	17 Sep 2016 21:00	46	---	No people	United States
17	18 Sep 2016 03:00	46	---	No people	United States
18	18 Sep 2016 09:00	56	---	No people	United States
19	18 Sep 2016 15:00	56	---	No people	United States
20	18 Sep 2016 21:00	56	---	No people	United States
21	19 Sep 2016 03:00	46	---	No people	United States

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	560000 people	30.3, -81.6	United States
2	14 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2.4 million people	30.9, -81.8	United States
3	14 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	3.6 million people	31.4, -81.3	United States
4	14 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	2 million people	32.1, -80.5	United States
5	15 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1.7 million people	32.1, -79.8	United States
6	15 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	32, -79.6	United States
7	15 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	31.8, -78.2
8	15 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.1, -77.1
9	16 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.5, -77.1
10	16 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.1, -76.4
11	16 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.1, -75.6
12	16 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	30.8, -75.7
13	17 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	30.2, -76.3
14	17 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	30.1, -76.4
15	17 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	30.2, -76.2
16	17 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	30.5, -76.3
17	18 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	30.6, -76.5
18	18 Sep 2016 09:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	31.3, -76.7
19	18 Sep 2016 15:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	31.8, -77.1
20	18 Sep 2016 21:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	32.3, -78
21	19 Sep 2016 03:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	32.2, -78.4
21	19 Sep 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	33.2, -78.2	United States
21	20 Sep 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	34.4, -77.9	United States
21	20 Sep 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	34.9, -77.8	United States
21	21 Sep 2016 00:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	35.1, -77.6	United States

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province	Country
South Carolina	United States
Georgia	United States
Florida	United States

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Charleston	South Carolina	United States	City	97000 people
North Charleston	South Carolina	United States	City	80000 people
Savannah	Georgia	United States	City	130000 people
Hinesville	Georgia	United States	City	30000 people
Brunswick	Georgia	United States	City	16000 people
Fernandina Beach	Florida	United States	City	11000 people
Jesup	Georgia	United States	City	9300 people
Jacksonville	Florida	United States	Major city	740000 people
Saint Augustine	Florida	United States	City	12000 people
Waycross	Georgia	United States	City	15000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Laurel Hill Farms		4				0
Raven's Run		2				0
Georgetown County	GGE	12	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
East Cooper		4				0
Medical University of South Carolina		5				0
Charleston Executive		6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Pluff Mud Field		5				0
Charleston AFB International	CHS	14	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000
Andrews Municipal	ADR	8	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Yonges Island		3				0
Jordan		11				0
Mount Holly		17				0
Berkeley County		23				0
Fripp Island Emergency		2				0
Hemingway Stuckey		16				0
Dorchester County		16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3700
Airy Hall		6				0
Marsh Point		4				0
Crosswinds-Wilson (Private)		27				0
Laurel Hill Plantation		3				0
Beaufort County		3				0
Williamsburg County		20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Hilton Head	HHH	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4300
Beaufort County Memorial Hospital		6				0
Beaufort Mcas	BFT	12	Mil.	Paved	Yes	12200
Salty Fare Landng		unknown				0
Holly Hill		29				0
Walterboro Municipal	RBW	30	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5700
St George Municipal		26				0
Clarendon County		32	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3600
Pocotaligo		34				0
Russell		34				0
Melrose Landing		unknown				0
Clarendon Memorial Hospital		58				0
Avinger Field		42				0
Palmetto Air Plantation		32				0
Ridgeland		24				0
Memorial Hospital		6				0
Hyatt Regency Hotel		37				0
Mc Neil		52				0
Hunter AAF	SVN	13	Mil.	Paved	Yes	11300
Shiloh Plantation		40				0
Bell's Branch		29				0
Hampton Varnville		34				0
Ehrhardt		45				0
Broxton Bridge Plantation		37				0
Savannah International	SAV	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9300
Orangeburg Municipal	OGB	60	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5400
Hodges Airpark		3				0
The Reg Medical Center of Orbg & Calhoun Co		91				0
Swaids Field		26				0
Harpers		34				0
Bamberg County Memorial Hospital		46				0
Effingham County Hospital		20				0
Barbour Island		3				0
Briar Patch		30				0
Davis		25				0
Bamberg County		61				0
Cypress Lakes		9				0
Allendale County		49				0
Eagle Neck		3				0
Sapelo Island		4				0
Sugar Hill		62				0
Alan's		112				0
Patterson Island		3				0
North Af Aux		88				0
Free Fall Farms		87				0
Eden Field		9				0
Wright AAF	LIY	14	Mil.	Paved	Yes	5000
Barnwell County	BNL	75	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5200
Liberty Memorial Hospital		17				0
Plantation Air Park		57	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Townsend Air Strip		8				0
Crawford Hendrix Farm		30				0
Malcolm Mckinnon	SSI	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5400
Wade Plantation		45				0
Landings East Sylvania		47				0
Glynco Jetport	BQK	8	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8000
Liberty County		30				0
Brooklet Airpark		59				0
Jekyll Island		4				0
Screven Ems		76				0
Statesboro Municipal	TBR	57	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5500
Southern Ag Aviation		55				0
Millhaven		50				0
East Georgia Regional Medical Center		65				0
Camp Oliver AAF		46				0
Claxton Evans County		35	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Union Carbide Plant Strip		6				0
Hearn		56				0
Stafford		2				0
Vogtle Electric Generating Plant		40				0
Womack		90				0
Rhodes Air Ranch		59				0
Jesup Wayne County		33	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Wayne Memorial Hospital		30				0
St Marys		7				0
Fernandina Beach Municipal		5				0
Millen		69				0
Tootle		62				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Georgetown	USGGE	Wake Island
Charleston	USCHS	Wake Island
Port Royal	USPRL	Wake Island
Beaufort		Wake Island
Savannah	USSAV	Wake Island
Port Wentworth	USPWN	Wake Island
Darien		Wake Island
Brunswick	USSSI	Wake Island
Kings Bay	USKBA	Wake Island
Fernandina Beach	USFEB	Wake Island
Mayport		Wake Island
Jacksonville		Wake Island
Saint Augustine		Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Pinopolis West Dam	Cooper River	1942
	North Santee Dam	Santee River	1942
Savannah River Par Pond	Savannah River Par Pond Lower Dam	Trib. Lower Three Runs	1959
	Savannah River Steel Creek Dam	Trib. Steel Creek	1986

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.