Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SEYMOUR-16 Off-shore from 23 Oct 2016 09:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2016 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEYMOUR-16

Off-shore

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEYMOUR-16 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	241 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	23 Oct 2016 06:00	120	---	No people
2	23 Oct 2016 12:00	130	---	No people
3	23 Oct 2016 18:00	139	---	No people
4	24 Oct 2016 00:00	167	---	No people
5	24 Oct 2016 06:00	185	---	No people
6	24 Oct 2016 12:00	194	---	No people
7	24 Oct 2016 18:00	204	---	No people
8	25 Oct 2016 00:00	204	---	No people
9	25 Oct 2016 06:00	213	---	No people
10	25 Oct 2016 12:00	222	---	No people
11	25 Oct 2016 18:00	222	---	No people
12	26 Oct 2016 00:00	241	---	No people
13	26 Oct 2016 06:00	241	---	No people
14	26 Oct 2016 12:00	231	---	No people
15	26 Oct 2016 18:00	204	---	No people
16	27 Oct 2016 00:00	185	---	No people
17	27 Oct 2016 06:00	157	---	No people
18	27 Oct 2016 12:00	139	---	No people
19	27 Oct 2016 18:00	111	---	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	23 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.8, -103
2	23 Oct 2016 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.3, -104.3
3	23 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, -105.3
4	24 Oct 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	14.2, -106.5
5	24 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.7, -107.8
6	24 Oct 2016 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15, -109.1
7	24 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	15.2, -110.6
8	25 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	15.4, -112
9	25 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	15.5, -113.3
10	25 Oct 2016 12:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	15.5, -114.4
11	25 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	15.6, -115.8
12	26 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	15.9, -117.1
13	26 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	16.2, -118.4
14	26 Oct 2016 12:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	16.7, -119.7
15	26 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	17.2, -120.7
16	27 Oct 2016 00:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	18.2, -121.4
17	27 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	19, -122
18	27 Oct 2016 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	19.8, -122.6
19	27 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	20.9, -123
19	28 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	22.6, -122.8
19	28 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	24, -121.7
19	29 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	25, -120.9
19	29 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	26.4, -120.3

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 28 Oct 2016 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.