Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for VARDAH-16
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VARDAH-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 10.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 Dec 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 157 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 15 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 07 Dec 2016 12:00 111 28.4 million No people India
Red 2 07 Dec 2016 18:00 157 23.3 million 1.2 million India
Red 3 08 Dec 2016 00:00 130 30.2 million 3 million India
Orange 4 08 Dec 2016 06:00 130 25.9 million 380 thousand India
Red 5 08 Dec 2016 12:00 120 32.5 million 1.3 million India
Orange 6 08 Dec 2016 18:00 130 29.1 million No people India
Orange 7 09 Dec 2016 00:00 102 22 million No people India
Orange 8 09 Dec 2016 06:00 74 14.8 million No people India
Orange 9 09 Dec 2016 12:00 65 11.6 million No people India
Orange 10 09 Dec 2016 18:00 65 21.1 million No people India
Orange 11 10 Dec 2016 00:00 111 13.4 million No people India
Orange 12 10 Dec 2016 06:00 93 16.5 million 50 thousand India
Orange 13 10 Dec 2016 12:00 130 45 million No people India
Orange 14 10 Dec 2016 18:00 111 23.7 million No people India
Red 15 11 Dec 2016 00:00 120 43.3 million 11.2 million India
Orange 16 11 Dec 2016 06:00 130 39.6 million No people India
Red 17 11 Dec 2016 12:00 130 25.8 million 4.3 million India
Red 18 11 Dec 2016 18:00 120 26.7 million 9.2 million India
Red 19 12 Dec 2016 00:00 139 41 million 10.3 million India
Red 20 12 Dec 2016 06:00 139 49.6 million 15 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 Dec 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people 10.7, 91.8
GREEN
2 07 Dec 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people 11, 92 India
GREEN
3 08 Dec 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 310000 people 11.4, 92.1 India
GREEN
4 08 Dec 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 350000 people 11.3, 92 India
GREEN
5 08 Dec 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 350000 people 11.6, 91.8 India
GREEN
6 08 Dec 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 320000 people 11.8, 91.5 India
GREEN
7 09 Dec 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 260000 people 11.9, 91.1 India
GREEN
8 09 Dec 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people 11.7, 90.8
GREEN
9 09 Dec 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.9, 90.1
GREEN
10 09 Dec 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.3, 89.1
GREEN
11 10 Dec 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 12.7, 88.4
GREEN
12 10 Dec 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 12.9, 87.5
GREEN
13 10 Dec 2016 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13.2, 86.3
GREEN
14 10 Dec 2016 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13, 85.2
GREEN
15 11 Dec 2016 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 12.7, 84.5
GREEN
16 11 Dec 2016 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 130000 people 12.9, 83.7 India
GREEN
17 11 Dec 2016 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 7.3 million people 13.1, 83.2 India
ORANGE
18 11 Dec 2016 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 13.3 million people 13.2, 82.3 India
RED
19 12 Dec 2016 00:00 Category 1 139 10.3 million people 19.8 million people 13.2, 81.5 India
RED
20 12 Dec 2016 06:00 Category 1 139 15 million people 30 million people 13.2, 80.6 India
ORANGE
20 12 Dec 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 32.2 million people 13.1, 78.8 India
GREEN
20 13 Dec 2016 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, 76.5 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India

Provinces

Region Province Country
Tamil Nadu India
Andhra Pradesh India
Karnataka India

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Chennai Tamil Nadu India Major city 4.3 million people
Ambattur Tamil Nadu India City 340000 people
Avadi Tamil Nadu India City 250000 people
Sriperumbudur Pallavaram Tamil Nadu India City -
Poonamallee Tamil Nadu India City -
Tambaram Tamil Nadu India City 140000 people
Takkolam Tamil Nadu India City -
Arkonam Tamil Nadu India City -
Kanchipuram Tamil Nadu India City 160000 people
Walajapet Tamil Nadu India City 30000 people
Kanippettai Tamil Nadu India City -
Vellore Tamil Nadu India City -
Gudiyattam Tamil Nadu India City 91000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Madras Chennai MAA 15 Civ. Paved Yes 12000
Tambaram 27 Mil. Paved No 5900
Arkonam 84 Mil. Paved Yes 11000

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Madras INMAA India

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Therunattam, India. This height is estimated for 12 Dec 2016 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (224 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 20 of 12 Dec 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Dec 2016 08:00 Therunattam India  0.6
12 Dec 2016 09:00 Ennore India  0.4
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.4
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Pyapon Myanmar  0.4
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Apaung Myanmar  0.4
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Chaunggyi Myanmar  0.4
12 Dec 2016 07:00 Tiruvottiyur India  0.4
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.3
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Alandaing Myanmar  0.3
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Hseikma Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ase Myanmar  0.3
12 Dec 2016 08:00 Chennai India  0.3
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.3
12 Dec 2016 08:00 Durgarajupatnam India  0.3
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.3
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Aunghlaing Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Suppanu Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Kawbein Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Alanbya Myanmar  0.3
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Donwun Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.2
12 Dec 2016 10:00 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
12 Dec 2016 08:00 Madhavaram India  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Budin Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Khlong Kao Thailand  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 20:00 Laem Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Map Lat Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Samut Songkhram Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 20:00 Ban Bang Khun Sai Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bang Bo Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 20:00 Ban Pak Tale Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Rong Kung Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 20:00 Ban Bang Khut Thailand  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Ama Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Chaungtaungbe Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Payahla Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ywadegon Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Magyigyaing Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Pyinkayaing Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Sin Hai Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Kampong Tengah Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Kampong Lama Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Kawthaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Ratcha Krut Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bang Kaeo Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Sakhla Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Muang Samut Prakan Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Zibyugyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Kongyi Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Kampong Mah Puteh Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Ba Kan Pa Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Nai Nang Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bang Pu Kao Thailand  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Ledaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Wagon Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Thechaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Medaw Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Tawbya Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Mong Klang Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Don Mot Tanoi Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Cha-am Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Nong Sala Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Ban Tambon Khlon Dan Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Anghila Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Ban Rong Khoei Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Chon Buri Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Zigyaing Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Kywegyaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Kangyaing Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Thetkethaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.2
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Ao Bang Khu Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Pyinbyugyi Myanmar  0.2
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Bang Muang Thailand  0.2
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Bang Dha-lu Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Bang Gwai Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 07:00 Wagaru Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Karokpi Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Anin Myanmar  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Khao Thong Tai Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Thung Dap Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Nok Na Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Nang Chan Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Ban Huai Sai Tai Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Hua Khao Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Si Racha Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Wa Thon Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Pak Chuk Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Ao Luk Tum Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Ban Ko Haa Thailand  0.1
12 Dec 2016 04:00 Kelambakkam India  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Huai Yang Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Hnohng Ai Bhrom Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Ban Chamuang Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Amphoe Bang Saphan Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Ban Hua Don Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 16:00 Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 16:00 Ban Hlem Chabang Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 16:00 Ban Ao Udom Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 16:00 Ban Na Chom Thian Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 16:00 Ban Amphoe Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Ban Bo Nok Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 07:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 06:00 Wegalaung Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Sadeinchaungoya Myanmar  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Ko Nakha Yai Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ai Taut Thailand  0.1
12 Dec 2016 00:00 Govundlapalem India  0.1
12 Dec 2016 04:00 Ullapalem India  0.1
12 Dec 2016 04:00 Pakala India  0.1
09 Dec 2016 08:00 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Kuah Malaysia  0.1
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Simpang Ampat Malaysia  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Kok San Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Kled Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Sattahip Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bang Kalo Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Bang Lamung Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bo Ta Sing Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Chong Samae San Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Dhungnoi Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Ban Tha Khoi Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Nong Hin Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Ao Noi Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 20:00 Chaunggwa Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 17:00 Magyibin Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 16:00 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 17:00 Okkan Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Andin Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Duya Myanmar  0.1
12 Dec 2016 08:00 Kodur India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Hin Kong Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Cho Pla Lai Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Thap Sakae Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Thung Pradu Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Nong Hoi Siap Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Ban Na Thap Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Ban Ton Makham Yai Thailand  0.1
12 Dec 2016 01:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
12 Dec 2016 01:00 Peddapatnam India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 12:00 Hastmatabad India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 12:00 Mahglutan India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 07:00 Bamboo Flat India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Ayer Hangat Malaysia  0.1
08 Dec 2016 23:00 Kuala Perlis Malaysia  0.1
08 Dec 2016 17:00 Ban Bang Sare Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Khlot Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Ban Don Yai Nu Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Ban Khung Tanot Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 18:00 Ban Bang Pu Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 04:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ko Ra I Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Chi Boi Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 03:00 Ban Kok Ko Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Ale-hman Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Kalawni Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Kaungma Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Onbingwin Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Htawa Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Zadi Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Nabule Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Bokpyin Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Phuruk Tew Myanmar  0.1
09 Dec 2016 00:00 Atwin Bokpyin Myanmar  0.1
12 Dec 2016 06:00 Kuvattur India  0.1
12 Dec 2016 06:00 Mahabalipuram India  0.1
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Phra La Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Phe Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 01:00 Ban Ko Kok Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 21:00 Ban Nong Mapring Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Ai Lao Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 19:00 Ban Tachilep Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Kampong Pulo Chili Myanmar  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Nong Khan Song Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Pak Khlong Bang Phra Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Laem Hin Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Yai Liu Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Noen Sung Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Ban Takang Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 22:00 Laem Khlat Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 15:00 Ko Lanta Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Ban Don Kha Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 02:00 Ban Faeng Daeng Thailand  0.1
08 Dec 2016 15:00 Ban Ai Dao Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 07:00 Ban Bang Niang Thailand  0.1
09 Dec 2016 07:00 Ban Lam Ru Thailand  0.1
12 Dec 2016 01:00 Chakicherla India  0.1