Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAARUTHA-17
in Myanmar
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAARUTHA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Myanmar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Myanmar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current

Up to 19.4 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 65 10.3 million No people Myanmar
Green 2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 93 2.6 million No people Myanmar
Green 3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 83 3.6 million No people Myanmar
Orange 4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 65 16 million No people Myanmar
Orange 5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 83 20.7 million No people Myanmar
Orange 6 16 Apr 2017 18:00 65 19.4 million No people Myanmar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, 90.2
GREEN
2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people no people 15.3, 91.3
GREEN
3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 460000 people no people 16.3, 92.3
GREEN
4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 6 million people no people 16.8, 92.6
ORANGE
5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 14.2 million people no people 18, 93.5
ORANGE
6 16 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 16.7 million people no people 19.2, 94.2
GREEN
6 17 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.2, 96
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Myanmar

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Arakan State Myanmar 2.5 million people
Magwe Myanmar 4.1 million people
Pegu Myanmar 4.8 million people
Irrawaddy Myanmar 6.3 million people
Chin State Myanmar 460000 people
Mandalay Myanmar 5.7 million people
Shan State Myanmar 3.8 million people
Sagaing Myanmar 4.7 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Taungup Rakhine Myanmar City - 39 km
Kyaukpyu Rakhine Myanmar City - 72 km
Thayetmyo Magway Myanmar City 96000 people 104 km
Pye Bago Myanmar City - 115 km
Shwedaung Bago Myanmar City - 120 km
Minbu Magway Myanmar City 56000 people 129 km
Kyangin Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 146 km
Yenangyaung Magway Myanmar City 100000 people 156 km
Paungde Bago Myanmar City 36000 people 159 km
Nattalin Bago Myanmar City - 166 km
Ela Mandalay Myanmar City - 219 km
Pyinmana Mandalay Myanmar City 97000 people 219 km
Ngathainggyaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 220 km
Yegyi Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 228 km
Kyonpyaw Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 236 km
Meiktila Mandalay Myanmar City 170000 people 252 km
Pakokku Magway Myanmar City 120000 people 253 km
Kyaunggon Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 255 km
Kangyidaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 262 km
Bassein Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 274 km
Myingyan Mandalay Myanmar City 140000 people 279 km
Taunggyi Shan Myanmar City 150000 people 345 km
Sagang Sagaing Myanmar City - 349 km
Mandalay Mandalay Myanmar Major city 1.1 million people 365 km
Maymyo Mandalay Myanmar City 110000 people 393 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Ann 22 0 65 km
Manaung MGU 6 Civ. Unpaved No 3700 67 km
Kyaukpyu KYP 6 Civ. Paved No 4600 74 km
Sandoway SNW 6 Civ. Paved No 4700 82 km
Prome PRU 37 Civ. Paved No 4500 120 km
Magway MWQ 84 Civ. Unpaved No 4600 133 km
Gwa GWA 3 Civ. Unpaved No 3500 182 km
Lanywa 53 Civ. Paved No 4000 204 km
Nyaung U NYU 91 Civ. Paved No 5700 232 km
Pauk PAU 76 Civ. Unpaved No 4000 251 km
Pakokku PKK 46 Civ. Unpaved No 4000 254 km
Meiktila 213 Mil. Unpaved No 5400 257 km
Ste Therese Point 192 Mil. Paved No 8500 263 km
Pathein BSX 6 Civ. Paved No 4800 271 km
Heho HEH 1176 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 321 km
Mandalay International 91 0 333 km
Annisaton MDL 77 Civ. Paved Yes 6500 362 km
Anisakan 914 Civ. Unpaved No 4400 397 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Kyaukpyu Myanmar 72 km
Sandoway Myanmar 80 km
Prome Myanmar 117 km
Sittwe Harbor Myanmar 171 km
Bassein Myanmar 273 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Manchaung Mann Creek -99 101 km
Taungnawin Taungnawin Creek -99 149 km
Salin Salin Creek -99 159 km
Sunchaung Sun Creek -99 181 km
Natmouk -99 190 km
Kinda Panlaung 1986 310 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.