Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAKHAR-17
in China, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAKHAR-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (27 Aug 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 24 Aug 2017 12:00 120 93.1 million 8.3 million China
Orange 2 24 Aug 2017 18:00 130 80.9 million 10.4 million China
Orange 3 25 Aug 2017 00:00 139 69.7 million 2.6 million China
Orange 4 25 Aug 2017 06:00 120 80.1 million 6.8 million China
Orange 5 25 Aug 2017 12:00 120 44.6 million 1.1 million China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.6, 126.1
GREEN
2 24 Aug 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.1, 125.2
GREEN
3 25 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 5 million people 14.9, 123.9 Philippines
GREEN
4 25 Aug 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 7.4 million people 15.5, 123.2 Philippines
GREEN
5 25 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 4.7 million people 16, 122.2 Philippines
GREEN
5 26 Aug 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 350000 people 17.5, 119.9 Philippines
GREEN
5 26 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2100 people 19.1, 117.1
ORANGE
5 27 Aug 2017 00:00 Category 1 120 1.1 million people 16.8 million people 20.4, 114.4 China
GREEN
5 27 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 34.8 million people 21.7, 111.7 China
GREEN
5 28 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.6, 107.8 China
GREEN
5 29 Aug 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 22.3, 105.2 Viet Nam
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China

Provinces

Region Province Country
Guangdong China

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Jiangcheng Guangdong China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Yangjiang CNYJI China

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Jiangcheng, China. This height is estimated for 27 Aug 2017 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (265 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 25 Aug 2017 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Jiangcheng China  1.5
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Chengcun China  1.5
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Pinggang China  1.4
27 Aug 2017 10:00 Shalan China  1.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Hsi-t'ou China  1.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Lengzilin China  1.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Santouzui China  1.2
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Baipu China  1.2
27 Aug 2017 10:00 Guanghai China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Dagou China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Beidou China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Chen-hai China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Hsin-chou China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Doushan China  1.1
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Tonggu China  1.0
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Chixi China  1.0
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Dayang China  1.0
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Tiantou China  1.0
27 Aug 2017 10:00 Dalangwan China  0.9
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Luewei China  0.9
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Xiaolin China  0.9
27 Aug 2017 14:00 Shangyang China  0.8
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Meige China  0.8
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Mashan China  0.8
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Shadi China  0.8
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Taipa Macau (China)  0.7
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Coloane Macau (China)  0.7
27 Aug 2017 07:00 San-tsao China  0.7
27 Aug 2017 15:00 Rudong China  0.7
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Pingsha China  0.7
27 Aug 2017 16:00 Diancheng China  0.6
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Cuihengcun China  0.6
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Qishan China  0.6
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Lau Fau Sha Hong Kong (China)  0.6
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Ngau Kwu Long Hong Kong (China)  0.6
27 Aug 2017 15:00 Shenwan China  0.5
27 Aug 2017 15:00 Baijiao China  0.5
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Wanshan China  0.5
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Lajiwei China  0.5
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Tai Long Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Dianbai China  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Sz Pak Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Tain Sha Tsui Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Kowloon Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Tsz Wa Chan Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Crocodile Hill Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Yau Tong Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Rennie's Mill Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Sau Mau Ping Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Yau Ma Po Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Sai Kung Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Ham Tin Hong Kong (China)  0.5
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Imtin China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Magang China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Ch'i-ching China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Danchang China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Nam Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 A Kung Ngam Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Hoi Pa Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Tsuen Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Cheung Wo Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 09:00 Fan Kwai Tong Hong Kong (China)  0.4
28 Aug 2017 02:00 Yingluo China  0.4
28 Aug 2017 02:00 Longtousha China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Ha Kwai Chung Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Taipang China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 14:00 Fumunchai China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 14:00 Fumuntschai China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Aotou China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Shekou China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Lo Tik Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Pok Fu Lam Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Wa Fu Estate Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Kennedy Town Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Cheung Sha Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Dapeng China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Lo So Shing Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Aberdeen Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Central Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 04:00 North Point Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Long Ke Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Pak Sha Au Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Khitschhung China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Hsia-yung China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Won Hang Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Wan Chai Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Chik Sha Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Tei Tong Tsui Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Tai Wan Tau Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Hang Hau Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Chiu-chieh China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Luzui China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Shuidong China  0.4
28 Aug 2017 03:00 Yong'an China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Baoan China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Chung Hom Kok Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 San Wan Ho Shau Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Chai Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Tuen Mun Hong Kong (China)  0.4
28 Aug 2017 03:00 Beimu China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 14:00 Sha-ching China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 14:00 Heping China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 11:00 Castle Peak New Town Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Chek Chue Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Tai Tam Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 06:00 Stanley Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Hok Tsui Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.4
27 Aug 2017 12:00 Nantou China  0.4
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Shagang China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Renshan China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Pinghai China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Gangkou China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Cheung Kang Hong Kong (China)  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Houmen China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Magong China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 01:00 Caotan China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Tianqian China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Zhelang China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 15:00 Cheng'anwei China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Jen-shan China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Xincheng China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 20:00 T'an-chou China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Dagang China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Fanhe China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 01:00 Ruishengtou China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 22:00 Gujing China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Jizhongtuo China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Shanwei China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Miaotou China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 01:00 Jiang'ouwei China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 02:00 Chang-p'eng China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Machong China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Gaode China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Guchengling China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Shuangshui China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 22:00 Miaojiao China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Dangjiang China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Qianjiang China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 03:00 Heng-ch'ung-hsu China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 02:00 Samkong China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 16:00 Min-chung China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 22:00 Doumen China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 02:00 Daze China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 04:00 Jiesheng China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Yuwotou China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Lianhuashan China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Huangge China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Dashatou China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Taiping China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Hsi-ch'ang-hsu China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Hsi-ch'ang China  0.3
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Beihai China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 13:00 Wan-ch'ing-sha China  0.3
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Jieshi China  0.2
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Baihao China  0.2
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Guanjing China  0.2
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Bailong China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Jiazi China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 18:00 Huangpo China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 18:00 Chiu-wu-ch'uan China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Meilu China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 17:00 Hai-lu China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 18:00 Huangpu China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 18:00 Shating China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Hudong China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 23:00 Mei-ko China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Changqingwei China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Daitou China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Huanglong China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Shenquan China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Haimen China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Shantou China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Dahao China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Aotou China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Siwei China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Houzhai China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Shenao China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Donghong China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Jinghai China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Ch'ao-yang-hsien China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Raoping China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Zhelin China  0.2
28 Aug 2017 07:00 Hsi-niu-chiao China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Guangao China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 05:00 Huanggang China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Chelim China  0.2
28 Aug 2017 00:00 Lianshan China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Baisha China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Shaoyao China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Xingyou China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Puqian China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Haikou China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 08:00 Boshegang China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Bengtang China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Houhai China  0.2
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Nanao China  0.1
25 Aug 2017 13:00 Casiguran Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Candon Pt Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Narvacan Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Santa Maria Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 23:00 Fuarte Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 23:00 Vigan Philippines  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Gongkou China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Dongshan China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Huqiu China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Wutian China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Baishawan China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Ch'i-sha China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Qianshan China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Jinhe China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Ch'i-shui China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 04:00 Haikang China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Wai-lo China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Houhu China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 21:00 Huangwu China  0.1
25 Aug 2017 12:00 Casiguran B Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 12:00 Casiguran Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 12:00 Pasaruboy Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Candon Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Santa Cruz Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Dili Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Bitalag Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Cabaritan Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Pinipin Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 23:00 Calay-ab Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 23:00 Basiing Philippines  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Gongqiancun China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Chencheng China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Chendai China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Hsi-pu China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Guleitou China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 01:00 Gangkou China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Sidu China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Ssu-tu China  0.1
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Matanobong Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Tagudin Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 22:00 Tangaoan Philippines  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Hsia-mei China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Liu'ao China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Jiuzhen China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Shentu China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 10:00 Jiangpingxu China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 10:00 Jiangping China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 10:00 Wanwei China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 10:00 Bailong China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 10:00 Jiangshan China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Doulongcun China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Dianqian China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Liuwudian China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 03:00 Shuiwei China  0.1
25 Aug 2017 13:00 Dinipan Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Luna Philippines  0.1
25 Aug 2017 21:00 Agdeppa Philippines  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Chihu China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 02:00 Fotan China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 09:00 Vinh Thuc Vietnam  0.1
27 Aug 2017 07:00 Nayan China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Hecuo China  0.1
27 Aug 2017 03:00 Aotou China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 06:00 Qiaotou China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Hsin-ying China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Baimajing China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Taan China  0.1
28 Aug 2017 08:00 Hsin-chou China  0.1