Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for LAN-17
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LAN-17 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2017-000153-JPN
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Oct 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 241 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 250 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 440000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 15 Oct 2017 12:00 204 No people No people
Green 2 15 Oct 2017 18:00 204 1.1 million No people Japan
Green 3 16 Oct 2017 00:00 213 1.2 million No people Japan
Green 4 16 Oct 2017 06:00 204 20 thousand No people Japan
Green 5 16 Oct 2017 12:00 204 1.8 million 2 thousand Japan
Green 6 16 Oct 2017 18:00 241 9.3 million 2 thousand Japan
Green 7 17 Oct 2017 00:00 241 52.9 million 2 thousand Japan
Green 8 17 Oct 2017 06:00 241 25.3 million 2 thousand Japan
Green 9 17 Oct 2017 12:00 241 53.8 million 2 thousand Japan
Green 10 17 Oct 2017 18:00 241 64.3 million 2 thousand Japan, Korea, Republic of
Green 11 18 Oct 2017 00:00 241 106.9 million 6 thousand Japan
Green 12 18 Oct 2017 06:00 241 112.8 million 50 thousand Japan
Green 13 18 Oct 2017 12:00 241 118.9 million 440 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.3, 136.8
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.1, 136.4
GREEN
3 16 Oct 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.6, 135.7
GREEN
4 16 Oct 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, 134.7
GREEN
5 16 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, 133.3
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 10.7, 132.3
GREEN
7 17 Oct 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 10.9, 131.8
GREEN
8 17 Oct 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 10, 132.2
GREEN
9 17 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 10.2, 132.4
GREEN
10 17 Oct 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 10.8, 132.4
GREEN
11 18 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.1, 132.3
GREEN
12 18 Oct 2017 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 12.9, 132.3
GREEN
13 18 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.2, 131.8
GREEN
13 19 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.5, 131.2
GREEN
13 19 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 17.1, 130.6
GREEN
13 20 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 18.7, 130.3
GREEN
13 20 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 4 241 no people 1.4 million people 20.1, 130.2 Japan
GREEN
13 21 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 4 222 2100 people 14 million people 23.4, 131.1 Japan
GREEN
13 22 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 3 204 440000 people 118.9 million people 27.3, 132.6 Japan
GREEN
13 23 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 33.1, 137.4
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kinki Japan
Chubu Japan

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Kushimoto Wakayama Japan City -
Shingu Wakayama Japan City 31000 people
Ise Mie Japan City 97000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Minami Daito MMD 4 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Kitadaito KTD 24 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Kushimoto-Katsuura KUJ unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Okino Japan
Kita Japan
Kushimoto Japan
Uraga JPURG Japan
Shingu JPSHN Japan
Owase JPOWA Japan
Toba JPTOB Japan
Ise JPISE Japan

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Kamiji Kamiji Kamijigawa 1972
Hattachiike Hattachiike Toyokawa 1966

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Minami-daito, Japan. This height is estimated for 22 Oct 2017 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (241 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 18 Oct 2017 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Oct 2017 01:00 Minami-daito Japan  0.3
22 Oct 2017 01:00 Minamimura Japan  0.3
22 Oct 2017 01:00 Kyuto Japan  0.3
22 Oct 2017 02:00 Kita-daito Japan  0.3
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Taipingzha China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Wantang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ganlan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Zhenhai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Chengpu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Songxia China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Jiangjia China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Dinggang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Ancheng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ligang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shigaotang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Beiqigen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Beilungang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Daniwan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Linshan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xiaoli'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nan'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dongsha China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Hsiao-an-chieh China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Dingqiao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Chaoyang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Huangwan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Ganpu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Lingmen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Aohuan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hepu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dalu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shihphu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Gaoting China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nanfeng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 09:00 Changchuanba China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Gexiang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chiao-t'ou China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dinghai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chung-tse China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 San Shah China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Guhuai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chang-chiang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chin-feng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Langqi China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tantou China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yunlong China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Fengwo China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Banping China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Da'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 P'u-t'o China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Wuhang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Guanjing China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Qingfeng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Houtian China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Mabi China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Beicuo China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Changchun China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Luxia China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yacheng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Sansha China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shacheng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xiaguan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Pucheng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Beilong China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Bei'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Touyan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Songmen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Danmen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Litang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Changtu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Guoju China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Zhapu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kisaki Japan  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Pingtan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Cao Yu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ting-hai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Anhai China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hanjiang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Songcheng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Da'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Wuqu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nanri China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Gaoshan China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Fuye China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tung-ch'ung China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chiu-nan-t'ien China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xiahu China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kanmen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 T'ien-hou-kung China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nan 'ao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ta-ch'u China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hsiao-yang-k'ou China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Huangang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Qiancang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 10:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 11:00 Chou-chia-peng China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 11:00 Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Jinshanwei China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chin-shan-tsui China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shanyang China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Caojing China  0.2
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tung-tai China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Baisheng China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Guanban China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Daitou China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Pinghai China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Zhongmen China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 P'u-hsi China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Meizhou China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 I-shan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Huanshan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xiabu China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Longwan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tiantu China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Buzen Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Imazu Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2017 08:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2017 09:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2017 10:00 Bangon Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2017 08:00 Tatabunan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2017 08:00 Guintampilan Philippines  0.1
19 Oct 2017 08:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 San-chia-shih China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chumen China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Zhuxi China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Haiyanzhen China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Donggangcun China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 San-chiao-t'ang China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shicheng China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kanda Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shimonoseki Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Moji Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shiida Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ube Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tokonami Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kurosaki Japan  0.1
19 Oct 2017 09:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xianxiang China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chien-chiang China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Beikan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Niinauri Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Sanshan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Siqianjie China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Luomen China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Bianjiao'ao China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dongtaihezha China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Liulishe China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Liu-tsao China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yasuoka Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chofu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kagawa Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tabe Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Habu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ajisu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shimogo Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Takada Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Bungo-Takada Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Takedatsu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Taketazu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Tangbian China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hayama Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Takabo Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dituan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Fangang China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shengshan China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nagasu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hashitsu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Dahu China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ch'ang-chieh China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hushi China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nakamura Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kurazami Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Nishinoomote Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kerisaki Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Komakino Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Osaki Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yakenota Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Chenyu China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Xinyanggang China  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Araki Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Uekatsu Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Akatsure Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Urabaru Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Aden Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Somachi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Shitooke Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Ogori Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Aioura Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Daido Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 04:00 Obo Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 04:00 Ogimi Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Taira Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Akagina Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Setta Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Manya Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Sakibaru Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Kasari Japan  0.1
22 Oct 2017 12:00 Usuku Japan  0.1