Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KAI-TAK-17
in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Malaysia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 74 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 11.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 65 19.8 million No people Philippines
Green 2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 74 11.5 million No people Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Dec 2017 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 11.3, 127.3
GREEN
2 14 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.9 million people 11.2, 127.3 Philippines
GREEN
2 14 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 4.3 million people 11.2, 126.9 Philippines
GREEN
2 15 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 5.4 million people 11.4, 126.5 Philippines
GREEN
2 15 Dec 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 6 million people 11.8, 126.1 Philippines
GREEN
2 16 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 10.1 million people 12.6, 125.8 Philippines
GREEN
2 17 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.3, 124.4 Philippines
GREEN
2 18 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.7, 121.7 Philippines
GREEN
2 19 Dec 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.4, 118.7 Philippines
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Philippines no people

Provinces

Region Province Country
Eastern Visayas Philippines
Northern Mindanao Philippines
Southern Mindanao Philippines
Bicol Philippines
Southern Tagalog Philippines

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Guiuan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 11000 people
Dulag Eastern Visayas Philippines City 10000 people
Tanauan Eastern Visayas Philippines City 16000 people
Tacloban Tacloban City Philippines City 190000 people
Palo Eastern Visayas Philippines City 18000 people
Burauen Eastern Visayas Philippines City 14000 people
Babatñgon Leyte Philippines City -
Barugo Leyte Philippines City 6500 people
Carigara Leyte Philippines City 17000 people
Ormoc Eastern Visayas Philippines City 91000 people
Calbayog Eastern Visayas Philippines City 68000 people
Bulan Bicol Philippines City 28000 people
Naga Bicol Philippines City 140000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Guiuan 2 Civ. Paved No 7000
Borongan 2 0
Siargao 3 0
Dolores 2 0
Nonoc 4 0
Daniel Z Romualdez TAC 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7000
Surigao SUG 6 Civ. Paved No 5000
Catbalogan 15 0
Ormoc OMC 25 Civ. Paved No 3900
Philphos 5 0
Calbayog CYP 3 Civ. Paved No 4800
Biliran Natl 89 0
Catarman CRM 2 Civ. Paved No 4400
Sorsogon 37 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Masbate MBT 15 Civ. Paved No 3900
Virac VRC 37 Civ. Paved No 5100
Legaspi LGP 20 Civ. Paved No 6800
Naga WNP 43 Civ. Paved No 4600
Daet DTE 3 Civ. Paved No 3700

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Guiuan Philippines
Gen Macarthur Philippines
Borongan PHBGV Philippines
Numancia Philippines
Dapa Philippines
Lagome Philippines
Tanauan Philippines
Tacloban PHTAC Philippines
Surigao PHSUG Philippines
Liloan Philippines
Sogod Philippines
Catbalogan PHCTS Philippines
Talalora Philippines
Malitbog Philippines
Baybay Philippines
Laoang Philippines
Ormoc Philippines
Pilar Philippines
Port Bello Philippines
Merida Philippines
Calbayog Philippines
Leyte Philippines
Isabel PHISL Philippines
Calubian Philippines
Villaba Philippines
Palompon Philippines
Arevalo Philippines
San Isidro Philippines
Casiguran Philippines
Bulan Philippines
Sorsogon Philippines
Magallanes Bay Philippines
Masbate Philippines
Virac Catanduanes Island Philippines
Masbate PHMBT Philippines
Coal Harbor Philippines
Legazpi PHLGP Philippines
Donsol Philippines
Port Barrera Philippines
Tabaco Philippines
Tabaco / Legaspi PHTBC Philippines
Tandoc PHTDC Philippines
Mercedes Philippines

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.