Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOYCE-18
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOYCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (11 Jan 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 93 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 95000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 09 Jan 2018 18:00 93 30 thousand No people Australia
Green 2 10 Jan 2018 00:00 93 30 thousand No people Australia
Green 3 10 Jan 2018 06:00 102 40 thousand No people Australia
Green 4 10 Jan 2018 12:00 102 50 thousand No people Australia
Green 5 10 Jan 2018 18:00 139 60 thousand 1 thousand Australia
Green 6 11 Jan 2018 00:00 139 50 thousand 1 thousand Australia
Green 7 11 Jan 2018 06:00 111 100 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 09 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 21000 people no people -17.6, 123.3
GREEN
2 10 Jan 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 20000 people no people -17, 123.1
GREEN
3 10 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 14000 people no people -16.1, 122.7
GREEN
4 10 Jan 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 18000 people no people -16.1, 122.5
GREEN
5 10 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 21000 people no people -16.7, 122.1
GREEN
6 11 Jan 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 20000 people no people -16.9, 121.6
GREEN
7 11 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 16000 people no people -17.3, 121.6
GREEN
7 11 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 29000 people no people -18.5, 121.1
GREEN
7 12 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 111 20000 people no people -19.7, 120.4
GREEN
7 12 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 29000 people no people -21.3, 119.3
GREEN
7 13 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 51000 people no people -23.2, 117.6
GREEN
7 14 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -27.5, 115.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Western Australia Australia 1.6 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Broome Western Australia Australia City 13000 people 99 km
Derby Western Australia Australia City - 216 km
Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City - 402 km
Port Hedland Western Australia Australia City 14000 people 461 km
Wedgefield Western Australia Australia City - 466 km
South Hedland Western Australia Australia City - 467 km
Wittenoom Gorge Western Australia Australia City - 646 km
Newman Western Australia Australia City - 698 km
Tom Price Western Australia Australia City - 718 km
Geraldton Western Australia Australia City 27000 people 1458 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Broome BME 17 Civ. Paved Yes 7800 98 km
Derby DRB 7 Civ. Paved Yes 5600 219 km
Carroll 91 Civ. Paved Yes 10000 239 km
Wallal WLA unknown 0 291 km
Mandora MQA unknown 0 292 km
Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0 369 km
Pardoo PRD unknown 0 379 km
Shay Gap SGP unknown 0 386 km
Muccan MUQ unknown 0 404 km
Warrawagine WRW unknown 0 417 km
Port Hedland PHE 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8200 463 km
Marble Bar MBB unknown 0 486 km
Nullagine NLL unknown 0 514 km
Shaw River SWB unknown 0 522 km
Roy Hill RHL unknown 0 615 km
Coolawanyah COY unknown 0 640 km
Wittenoom Gorge WIT unknown 0 648 km
Tom Price TPR unknown 0 721 km
Paraburdoo PBO 429 Civ. Paved Yes 6900 765 km
Gascoyne Junction GSC unknown 0 1085 km
Kalbarri KAX unknown 0 1376 km
Mullewa MXU unknown 0 1393 km
Geraldton GET 37 Civ. Paved Yes 6400 1455 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Broome AUBME Coral Sea Islands 100 km
Beagle Bay Coral Sea Islands 109 km
Lagrange Coral Sea Islands 156 km
Cape Leveque Coral Sea Islands 184 km
Derby AUDRB Coral Sea Islands 214 km
Yampi Sound Coral Sea Islands 253 km
Yampi AUYAM Coral Sea Islands 258 km
Port Hedland AUPHE Coral Sea Islands 461 km
Hamelin Pool Coral Sea Islands 1240 km
Bluff Point Coral Sea Islands 1397 km
Port Gregory Coral Sea Islands 1423 km
Geraldton AUGET Coral Sea Islands 1459 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 11 Jan 2018 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (16 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 12 Jan 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Jan 2018 18:00 Thangoo Australia  1.0
11 Jan 2018 02:00 Derby Australia  0.9
11 Jan 2018 18:00 Broome Australia  0.7
11 Jan 2018 18:00 Waterbank Australia  0.6
11 Jan 2018 17:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.6
10 Jan 2018 22:00 Pender Australia  0.5
11 Jan 2018 01:00 Kollan I Australia  0.4
12 Jan 2018 14:00 Condon Australia  0.3
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Parap Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Darwin Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Bagot Australia  0.2
11 Jan 2018 05:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2