Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MEKUNU-18 in Oman from 22 May 2018 00:00 UTC to 26 May 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MEKUNU-18

in Oman

26 May 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000062-OMN
Exposed countries	Oman
Exposed population	240 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (25 May 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 240000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 May 2018 00:00	157	450 thousand	250 thousand	Oman
2	22 May 2018 06:00	139	490 thousand	220 thousand	Oman
3	22 May 2018 12:00	148	500 thousand	220 thousand	Oman
4	22 May 2018 18:00	148	440 thousand	8 thousand	Oman
5	23 May 2018 00:00	157	530 thousand	30 thousand	Yemen, Oman
6	23 May 2018 06:00	139	480 thousand	180 thousand	Oman, Yemen
7	23 May 2018 12:00	167	480 thousand	200 thousand	Oman
8	23 May 2018 18:00	157	470 thousand	220 thousand	Oman, Yemen
9	24 May 2018 00:00	139	490 thousand	230 thousand	Oman, Yemen
10	24 May 2018 06:00	176	510 thousand	230 thousand	Oman
11	24 May 2018 12:00	157	480 thousand	220 thousand	Oman
12	24 May 2018 18:00	167	510 thousand	200 thousand	Oman
13	25 May 2018 00:00	167	550 thousand	30 thousand	Oman, Yemen
14	25 May 2018 06:00	167	490 thousand	230 thousand	Oman
15	25 May 2018 12:00	185	450 thousand	240 thousand	Oman
16	25 May 2018 18:00	185	430 thousand	240 thousand	Oman
17	26 May 2018 00:00	157	430 thousand	240 thousand	Oman

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	22 May 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, 57.3
2	22 May 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	13000 people	9.6, 57.2	Yemen
3	22 May 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	42000 people	10.4, 56.9	Yemen
4	22 May 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	47000 people	10.7, 56.4	Yemen
5	23 May 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	58000 people	10.9, 56	Yemen
6	23 May 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	58000 people	11.5, 56.2	Yemen
7	23 May 2018 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	58000 people	12, 56	Yemen
8	23 May 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	58000 people	12.6, 55.8	Yemen
9	24 May 2018 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	400000 people	13.1, 55.6	Yemen
10	24 May 2018 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	440000 people	13.7, 55.5	Yemen
11	24 May 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	440000 people	14.3, 55.4	Yemen
12	24 May 2018 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	500000 people	15.1, 55	Yemen
13	25 May 2018 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	550000 people	15.2, 54.4	Oman
14	25 May 2018 06:00	Category 2	167	210000 people	430000 people	15.7, 54.6	Oman
15	25 May 2018 12:00	Category 3	185	230000 people	380000 people	16.4, 54.3	Oman
16	25 May 2018 18:00	Category 3	185	56000 people	320000 people	16.6, 53.9	Oman
17	26 May 2018 00:00	Category 2	157	9900 people	320000 people	17.1, 53.4	Oman
17	26 May 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	30000 people	17.9, 53	Yemen
17	27 May 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.5, 52.5	Yemen

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Oman

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Zufar	Oman

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Salalah		Oman	City	170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Manston		970				0
Salalah	SLL	22	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10900

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port Raysut	OMRAY	Oman
Mirbat		Oman

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Mughsayl, Oman. This height is estimated for 25 May 2018 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (31 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 25 May 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 May 2018 21:00	Mughsayl	Oman	0.8
	25 May 2018 20:00	Araft	Oman	0.5
	25 May 2018 22:00	Salalah	Oman	0.3
	25 May 2018 22:00	Al Kathir	Oman	0.3
	25 May 2018 21:00	Sudh	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 21:00	Kharfat	Oman	0.2
	24 May 2018 07:00	Hadiboh	Yemen	0.2
	25 May 2018 08:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 08:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	24 May 2018 00:00	Qadub	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 08:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 20:00	Dhalqut	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 20:00	Al Kharifut	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Marbat	Oman	0.1
	24 May 2018 00:00	Qashlu	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 22:00	Safqut	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 13:00	Taqah	Oman	0.1
	24 May 2018 02:00	Mutra	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 03:00	Gishub	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 01:00	Siqirah	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 03:00	Steroh	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 08:00	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 13:00	Fararah	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 06:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	24 May 2018 02:00	Nait	Yemen	0.1
	24 May 2018 02:00	Ghubbah	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 13:00	Miji	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Hasik	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Sadh	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Hauf	Yemen	0.1
	25 May 2018 00:00	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.