Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for SOULIK-18 in Japan from 15 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC to 17 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SOULIK-18

in Japan

17 Aug 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SOULIK-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (21 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	194 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

194 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	176	3 thousand	2 thousand
2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	157	2.7 million	Few people	Japan
3	16 Aug 2018 00:00	167	15.8 million	10 thousand	Japan
4	16 Aug 2018 06:00	213	940 thousand	No people	Japan
5	16 Aug 2018 12:00	213	3.3 million	No people	Japan
6	16 Aug 2018 18:00	213	14.3 million	330 thousand	Japan
7	17 Aug 2018 00:00	194	16 million	3 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	120000 people	12.5, 144.4	Guam
2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, 143.9	Guam
3	16 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.2, 143
4	16 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.9, 142.4
5	16 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.5, 141.8
6	16 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	<1000 people	20.2, 141.5
7	17 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	21.5, 140.9
7	17 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	<1000 people	23.5, 140.3
7	18 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	<1000 people	24.5, 140
7	18 Aug 2018 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	<1000 people	24.9, 139.5
7	19 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	<1000 people	25.4, 138.7
7	20 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 4	213	no people	600000 people	26.6, 136.2	Japan
7	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 3	194	3 million people	16 million people	28.7, 132.9	Japan
7	22 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	31.9, 130	Japan

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kyushu	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Shibushi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	18000 people
O-nejime	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kanoya	Kagoshima	Japan	City	82000 people
Sueyoshi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	20000 people
Miyakonojo	Miyazaki	Japan	City	130000 people
Takaoka	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Makurazuki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Taniyama	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kokubu	Kagoshima	Japan	City	58000 people
Kagoshima	Kagoshima	Japan	Major city	550000 people
Kajiki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	23000 people
Kamo	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Naka-harada	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Sendai	Kagoshima	Japan	City	72000 people
Hitoyoshi	Kumamoto	Japan	City	38000 people
Yatsushiro	Kumamoto	Japan	City	100000 people
Nomo	Nagasaki	Japan	City	-
Nagasaki	Nagasaki	Japan	Major city	410000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Tanegashima	TNE	97	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Yakushima	KUM	37	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Nishinoomote	IIN	unknown				0
Kanoya		65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7300
Kagoshima	KOJ	276	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Amakusa		103				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aburatsu	JPABU	Japan
Uchiumi		Japan
Shibushi	JPSBS	Japan
Yamagawa		Japan
Kiire	JPKII	Japan
Makurazaki		Japan
Amamioshima	JPASJ	Japan
Kagoshima	JPKOJ	Japan
Kushikino		Japan
Minamata	JPMIN	Japan
Yatsushiro		Japan
Naga Island		Japan
Kojiro		Japan
Ushibuka		Japan
Misumi	JPMIS	Japan
Kuchinotsu	JPKUC	Japan
Mogi		Japan
Ha Shima		Japan
Nagasaki	JPNGS	Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Saikyo	Saikyo	Matanobugawa	1984
Sakataniko	Nichinan	Sakatanigawa	1984
Osumiko	Takakuma	Kushiragawa	1968
Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawa	1932
Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawa	1961
Nojiriko	Iwase	Iwasegawa	1967
Onoko	Ayaminami	Honjogawa	1958
Takeyama	Takeyama	Usonokigawa	1986
Otsuruko	Tsuruda	Sendaigawa	1965
Kogawa	Kogawa	Kogawa	1973
Uchitani	Uchitani	Itsukiogawa	1975
Kyoragi	Kyoragi	Iwaiguchigawa	1975
Oshidorinoike	Bessho	Chijiwagawa	1968
Urakamisuigenchi	Urakami	Oidegawa	2001

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in Oryuzako, Japan. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2018 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (10 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 17 Aug 2018 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Oryuzako	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Kisaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Takesaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Hirayama	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Hirota	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Hamada	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Osaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Tachibandori	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Haruguchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 00:00	Karijuku	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.