Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRK-18 in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados from 22 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC to 23 Sep 2018 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRK-18

in Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRK-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Guadeloupe, Dominica, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Barbados
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (27 Sep 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (St. Vincent & the Grenadines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	93 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 480000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	93	290 thousand	No people	Barbados
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	93	480 thousand	No people	Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	22 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.3, -23.6
2	22 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.6, -24.8
3	23 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9, -26.4
4	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, -28
4	23 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	9.5, -30.7
4	24 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10, -35.1
4	24 Sep 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.2, -39.5
4	25 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	10.4, -43.7
4	26 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	10.9, -51
4	27 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	480000 people	12, -57	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
4	28 Sep 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13, -61.5	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Barbados
St. Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Grenada

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Barbados	Barbados
St. Lucia	Saint Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Grenada	Grenada

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Bridgetown	Saint Michael	Barbados	Capital	97000 people
Kingstown	Saint George	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	Capital	18000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Grantley Adams International	BGI	52	Civ.	Paved	Yes	11000
Hewanorra International	UVF	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9000
E T Joshua	SVD	20	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600
J F Mitchell		4	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Canouan		5	Civ.	Paved	No	3600
Palm Island	PLI	unknown				0
Union Island	UNI	unknown				0
Carriacou	CRU	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Bridgetown	BBBGI	Barbados
Speightstown		Barbados
Vieux Fort		Saint Lucia
Kingstown	VCKTN	Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Admiralty Bay		Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in San Fernando, Trinidad and Tobago. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (99 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 23 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.5
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Palencho	Venezuela	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	26 Sep 2018 12:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.4
	26 Sep 2018 12:00	Totness	Suriname	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.4
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	26 Sep 2018 09:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Cabo Blanco	Venezuela	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	La Esmeralda	Venezuela	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.3
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Guaca	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Barcelona	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Soledad	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Blanchisseuse	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 09:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	San Juan	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Caimancito	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Puerto Piritu	Venezuela	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Las Cuevas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Macuro	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	El Morro de Barcelona	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Puerto la Cruz	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	El Chaure	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 03:00	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	No Alonso	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	El Jose	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 01:00	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 18:00	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Mount Pleasant	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Cardoncito	Venezuela	0.2
	26 Sep 2018 18:00	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Arapo	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Santa Fe	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Guamache	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Porlamar	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Piedras Negras	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	La Uva	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	La Guardia	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Altagracia	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Scarborough	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Belle Garden	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Speyside	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	Pampatar	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	El Yaque	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Chacachacare	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 07:00	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Brighton	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Weldaad	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Number Forty	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Onverwagt	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Castara	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Fyrish	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Rosehall	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Waterloo	Guyana	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Punta de Piedras	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Manzanillo	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Paraguchi	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	Ariota	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	San Pedro de Coche	Venezuela	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Courida Park	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	De Kinderen	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Georgetown	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Belfield	Guyana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 08:00	Enmore	Guyana	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 08:00	El Guamache	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 09:00	San Antonio	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.