Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAN-YI-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAN-YI-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (28 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 194 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 19 Nov 2018 18:00 185 120 thousand 1 thousand Guam
Green 2 20 Nov 2018 00:00 176 220 thousand No people Guam
Green 3 20 Nov 2018 06:00 176 220 thousand No people Guam
Green 4 20 Nov 2018 12:00 185 210 thousand No people Guam
Green 5 20 Nov 2018 18:00 194 210 thousand Few people Guam
Green 6 21 Nov 2018 00:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam
Green 7 21 Nov 2018 06:00 176 210 thousand No people Guam
Green 8 21 Nov 2018 12:00 157 50 thousand No people
Green 9 21 Nov 2018 18:00 176 50 thousand No people
Green 10 22 Nov 2018 00:00 176 50 thousand No people
Green 11 22 Nov 2018 06:00 176 50 thousand No people
Green 12 22 Nov 2018 12:00 167 50 thousand No people
Green 13 22 Nov 2018 18:00 167 50 thousand No people
Green 14 23 Nov 2018 00:00 167 50 thousand No people
Green 15 23 Nov 2018 06:00 167 50 thousand No people
Green 16 23 Nov 2018 12:00 157 50 thousand No people
Green 17 23 Nov 2018 18:00 167 50 thousand No people
Green 18 24 Nov 2018 00:00 148 50 thousand No people
Green 19 24 Nov 2018 06:00 139 50 thousand No people
Green 20 24 Nov 2018 12:00 148 50 thousand No people
Green 21 24 Nov 2018 18:00 148 50 thousand No people
Green 22 25 Nov 2018 00:00 148 50 thousand No people
Green 23 25 Nov 2018 06:00 148 50 thousand No people
Green 24 25 Nov 2018 12:00 139 50 thousand No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 19 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 3700 people 4.4, 156.6
GREEN
2 20 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 40000 people 4.8, 155.6
GREEN
3 20 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people 4400 people 4.6, 154.9
GREEN
4 20 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 49000 people 4.8, 154.2
GREEN
5 20 Nov 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people 50000 people 6, 152.6
GREEN
6 21 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 <1000 people 49000 people 6.7, 151
GREEN
7 21 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4000 people 7.6, 149.1
GREEN
8 21 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1300 people 8.7, 146.9
GREEN
9 21 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 9.6, 143.9
GREEN
10 22 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people 2900 people 10.6, 141.8
GREEN
11 22 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 11.8, 139.7
GREEN
12 22 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 13, 138.3
GREEN
13 22 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 13.8, 137.3
GREEN
14 23 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.5, 136.5
GREEN
15 23 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 15.4, 135.6
GREEN
16 23 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.6, 135.4
GREEN
17 23 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 17.6, 135.3
GREEN
18 24 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18, 135.4
GREEN
19 24 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.2, 135.6
GREEN
20 24 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.5, 136.2
GREEN
21 24 Nov 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.7, 136.4
GREEN
22 25 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.3, 136
GREEN
23 25 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 18.2, 135.7
GREEN
24 25 Nov 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.5, 135
GREEN
24 26 Nov 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.2, 133.8
GREEN
24 26 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.1, 132.8
GREEN
24 27 Nov 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 21.3, 132.2
GREEN
24 27 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.7, 132.2
GREEN
24 28 Nov 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 25.9, 134.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Dinggang, China. This height is estimated for 28 Nov 2018 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (56 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 25 Nov 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Dinggang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Ancheng China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chengpu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Songxia China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Linshan China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Taipingzha China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Wantang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Dingqiao China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Chaoyang China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Huangwan China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Ganpu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Luomen China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Changtu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Ta-ch'u China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Jiangjia China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Chung-tse China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 00:00 Hsiao-an-chieh China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Changchuanba China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Ligang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Ganlan China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Dongsha China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 01:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Shigaotang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Beiqigen China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Beilungang China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Daniwan China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Guoju China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Da'ao China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Xiaoli'ao China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 02:00 Nan'ao China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 Dinghai China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Gaoting China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 03:00 Nanfeng China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 12:00 Tiantu China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Zhapu China  0.1
27 Nov 2018 23:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.1
28 Nov 2018 04:00 P'u-t'o China  0.1