Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Oct 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 176 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

176 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 157 30 thousand No people India
Green 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 176 30 thousand No people India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 31000 people 8.8, 74.8 India
GREEN
2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 33000 people 9.9, 74 India
GREEN
2 31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 20000 people 11.8, 73 India
GREEN
2 31 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.7, 71.8
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.1, 70.6
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.3, 69.3
GREEN
2 02 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 17.9, 66.9
GREEN
2 03 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 18.3, 64.8
GREEN
2 04 Nov 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 18.3, 62.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Payyoli, India. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (61 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 30 Oct 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Payyoli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Quilandi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 17:00 Porbandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Asarsa India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Tankari India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 22:00 Muler India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Delvada India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Rohisa India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:00 Turavur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Ghogha India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Mahuva India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 23:00 Wadgam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Mattancheri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Alleppey India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Haripad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Tondi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Dahej India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Harinagar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Kotra Nes India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Dangarvadi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Kotada India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Olpad India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Surat India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Mahuver India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Shirali India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Bhatkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:00 Bainduru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Tanur India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Kambhat India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Kavi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Sarod India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:00 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Ambalapulai India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Bhagva India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Damka India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Kodinar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Jalalpur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Honavar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Manki India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Mavalli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Chittadi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:00 Kundapura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 19:00 Belekeri India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 19:00 Ankola India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Marmagao India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Ratia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:00 Vengurla India  0.1