Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SARAI-19 in Fiji, Tonga, Niue from 26 Dec 2019 06:00 UTC to 27 Dec 2019 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SARAI-19

in Fiji, Tonga, Niue

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SARAI-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Fiji, Tonga, Niue
Exposed population	10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (28 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	130 km/h	0.5 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5900 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	120	1 million	90 thousand	Fiji
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	120	1 million	10 thousand	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	120	1 million	2 thousand	Fiji
4	27 Dec 2019 00:00	120	1 million	6 thousand	Fiji

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	26 Dec 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	6900 people	-13.2, 176.2
2	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	370000 people	-14.4, 175.8	Fiji
3	26 Dec 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	790000 people	-15.7, 175.5	Fiji
4	27 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	740000 people	-16.6, 175.4	Fiji
4	27 Dec 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	760000 people	-18.1, 175.7	Fiji
4	28 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	111	4400 people	830000 people	-18.8, 176.7	Fiji
4	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Category 1	120	5400 people	900000 people	-19.2, 178	Fiji
4	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	980000 people	-19.5, 179.5	Tonga
4	30 Dec 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	120000 people	-19.9, -178.1	Fiji
4	31 Dec 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	110000 people	-19.9, -175	Niue
4	01 Jan 2020 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	-19.5, -170.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Fiji

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Fiji	Fiji

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Nasau		Fiji	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Kandavu	KDV	unknown				0

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Nasau, Fiji. This height is estimated for 28 Dec 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (111 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 27 Dec 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.5
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Talaulia	Fiji	0.4
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Namaka	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Lautoka	Fiji	0.3
	29 Dec 2019 00:00	Andako	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Mburelevu	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Mokoisa	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Somosomo	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Soso	Fiji	0.3
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Momi	Fiji	0.3
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Cautata	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Nasilai	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Namara	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Soso	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Kaduvu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Rabulu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Togowere	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 21:00	Solevu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Nukuvou	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Dromuna	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Nawailevu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Nalauwaki	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 19:00	Monothaki	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 21:00	Ongea	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Bouwanga	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 08:00	Naruwai	Fiji	0.2
	31 Dec 2019 00:00	Pangai	Tonga	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Navindamu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Navuti	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Nasaga	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 20:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Nacula	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Navotua	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Taunovo	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 13:00	Naikorokoro	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 08:00	Lovoni	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Tamusua	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Pacific Harbour	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 16:00	Gasele	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Nailanga	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Sorokoba	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Mbatiri	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Waisomo	Fiji	0.2
	29 Dec 2019 21:00	Namuka	Fiji	0.2
	27 Dec 2019 18:00	Vatutandova	Fiji	0.2
	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Savu Sau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 06:00	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.1
	27 Dec 2019 22:00	Natunuka	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Lomawal	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Cuvu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Sigatoka	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Laselase	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Vatukarasa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Yanutha	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Nalotu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 12:00	Vunisea	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 14:00	Kavala	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 15:00	Vabea	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Nagumu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 01:00	Nadi	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Yangganga	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Korolevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Korovisilou	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Mau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korosi	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Matayalevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Matacawalevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Ndenimanu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Lalati	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 12:00	Naimasimasi	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Nanduri	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Nayavutoka	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Ucunivanua	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Naweni	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Sisili	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 08:00	Ndalomo	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Rakiraki	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Vaileka	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Matavuralevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Dakuimbeqa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 07:00	Navua	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Kalokolevu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Suva	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Viani	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Yasawairara	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Galoa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 04:00	Naitionitoni	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Thavanga	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Tamavua	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Lauthala Bay	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Laucala	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Kasavu	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 10:00	Nausori	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 18:00	Lokia	Fiji	0.1
	29 Dec 2019 06:00	Keteira	Fiji	0.1
	30 Dec 2019 17:00	Foui	Tonga	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 10:00	Lodoni	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Korotasere	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.1
	26 Dec 2019 09:00	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 02:00	Teci	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Mbukama	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 05:00	Rukuruku	Fiji	0.1
	28 Dec 2019 03:00	Naingani	Fiji	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.