Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (21 Aug 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 213 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 640000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 16 Aug 2020 15:00 194 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 2 16 Aug 2020 21:00 204 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 3 17 Aug 2020 03:00 222 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 4 17 Aug 2020 09:00 222 Few people Few people Mexico
Green 5 17 Aug 2020 15:00 222 Few people No people Mexico
Green 6 17 Aug 2020 21:00 222 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 18 Aug 2020 03:00 222 50 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 18 Aug 2020 09:00 231 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 18 Aug 2020 15:00 241 Few people No people Mexico
Green 10 18 Aug 2020 21:00 222 120 thousand No people Mexico
Green 11 19 Aug 2020 03:00 194 280 thousand No people Mexico
Green 12 19 Aug 2020 09:00 185 320 thousand No people Mexico
Green 13 19 Aug 2020 15:00 185 350 thousand No people Mexico
Green 14 19 Aug 2020 21:00 148 330 thousand No people Mexico
Green 15 20 Aug 2020 03:00 139 620 thousand No people Mexico
Green 16 20 Aug 2020 09:00 130 650 thousand No people Mexico
Green 17 20 Aug 2020 15:00 120 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 18 20 Aug 2020 21:00 111 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 19 21 Aug 2020 03:00 102 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 20 21 Aug 2020 09:00 83 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 21 21 Aug 2020 15:00 74 640 thousand No people Mexico
Green 22 21 Aug 2020 21:00 65 640 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Level N° Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 16 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.3, -97.3
GREEN
2 16 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 12.2, -99.2
GREEN
3 17 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 12.4, -100.4
GREEN
4 17 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.3, -101.7
GREEN
5 17 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 14.3, -103
GREEN
6 17 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 15.5, -104.6
GREEN
7 18 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 16.5, -106
GREEN
8 18 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 3 185 no people <1000 people 17.4, -107.1
GREEN
9 18 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 4 213 no people <1000 people 18, -108
GREEN
10 18 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 4 213 no people <1000 people 18.7, -108.7
GREEN
11 19 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 3 194 no people <1000 people 19.5, -109
GREEN
12 19 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 3 185 no people 200000 people 20.2, -109.4
GREEN
13 19 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 3 185 no people 310000 people 20.9, -109.7
GREEN
14 19 Aug 2020 21:00 Category 1 148 no people 300000 people 21.4, -110.1
GREEN
15 20 Aug 2020 03:00 Category 1 139 no people 570000 people 22, -110.1
GREEN
16 20 Aug 2020 09:00 Category 1 130 no people 620000 people 22.5, -110.4
GREEN
17 20 Aug 2020 15:00 Category 1 120 no people 620000 people 23.3, -111.4
GREEN
18 20 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 69000 people 23.9, -112.4
GREEN
19 21 Aug 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2500 people 24.2, -113.2
GREEN
20 21 Aug 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 24.3, -114.3
GREEN
21 21 Aug 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 25, -114.8
GREEN
22 21 Aug 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 25.8, -115.5
GREEN
22 22 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 27, -117
GREEN
22 22 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 28.3, -119.1
GREEN
22 23 Aug 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29.2, -120.7
GREEN
22 23 Aug 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 28 no people no people 30.2, -121.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Source: GADM and GHSL

Provinces

Source: GADM and GHSL

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.