Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for MICHAEL-12 Off-shore from 04 Sep 2012 15:00 UTC to 07 Sep 2012 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MICHAEL-12

Off-shore

07 Sep 2012 03 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MICHAEL-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	195 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	-- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	167 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	195 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

TOP

Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher
1	03 Sep 2012 21:00	64	No people	No people
2	04 Sep 2012 03:00	64	No people	No people
3	04 Sep 2012 09:00	64	No people	No people
4	04 Sep 2012 15:00	74	No people	No people
5	04 Sep 2012 21:00	111	No people	No people
6	05 Sep 2012 03:00	121	No people	No people
7	05 Sep 2012 09:00	130	No people	No people
8	05 Sep 2012 15:00	130	No people	No people
9	05 Sep 2012 17:30	138	No people	No people
10	05 Sep 2012 21:00	148	No people	No people
11	06 Sep 2012 03:00	148	No people	No people
12	06 Sep 2012 05:00	185	No people	No people
13	06 Sep 2012 09:00	195	No people	No people
14	06 Sep 2012 15:00	195	No people	No people
15	06 Sep 2012 21:00	175	No people	No people
16	07 Sep 2012 03:00	167	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	9/3/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.6, -42.2
2	9/4/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25.9, -42.8
3	9/4/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	26.5, -43.3
4	9/4/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	27, -43.5
5	9/4/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	27.5, -43.7
6	9/5/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	27.4, -43.7
7	9/5/2012 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	28.1, -43.9
8	9/5/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	28.3, -43.3
9	9/5/2012 5:30:00 PM	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	28.5, -42.9
10	9/5/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	28.8, -42.7
11	9/6/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	29.3, -42.2
12	9/6/2012 5:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	29.4, -42
13	9/6/2012 9:00:00 AM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	29.6, -41.7
14	9/6/2012 3:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	no people	no people	30.1, -41.3
15	9/6/2012 9:00:00 PM	Category 2	175	no people	no people	30.6, -41
16	9/7/2012 3:00:00 AM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	30.8, -40.8
16	9/7/2012 12:00:00 PM	Category 2	158	no people	no people	31.2, -40.9
16	9/8/2012	Category 1	148	no people	no people	31.7, -41.5
16	9/8/2012 12:00:00 PM	Category 1	148	no people	no people	32.3, -42
16	9/9/2012	Category 1	138	no people	no people	33, -42.5
16	9/10/2012	Category 1	130	no people	no people	34.5, -44
16	9/11/2012	Category 1	121	no people	no people	36.5, -46
16	9/12/2012	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	43, -47

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

TOP

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

TOP

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 35 of 11 Sep 2012 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.