Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KRISTY-12 in Mexico from 12 Sep 2012 21:00 UTC to 13 Sep 2012 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KRISTY-12

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KRISTY-12 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (16 Sep 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	12 Sep 2012 15:00	93	No people	No people	Mexico
2	12 Sep 2012 21:00	101	No people	No people
3	13 Sep 2012 03:00	111	No people	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	9/12/2012 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.7, -106
2	9/12/2012 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	18.2, -106.9
3	9/13/2012 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	18, -107.4
3	9/13/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	18.5, -108.4	Mexico
3	9/14/2012	Tropical storm	101	no people	no people	19.2, -110	Mexico
3	9/14/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	20, -111.4	Mexico
3	9/15/2012	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	21.1, -113.2
3	9/16/2012	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	23.5, -116.7
3	9/17/2012	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	25, -120
3	9/18/2012	Tropical depression	47	no people	no people	25.5, -121

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Mexico	Baja California Sur

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in San Felipe, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Sep 2012 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (3 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 16 Sep 2012 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Sep 2012 05:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	16 Sep 2012 15:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	16 Sep 2012 16:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.