Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-13
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability -- ()

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 111 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Jul 2013 09:00 74 No people No people
Green 2 24 Jul 2013 15:00 93 No people No people
Green 3 24 Jul 2013 21:00 93 No people No people
Green 4 25 Jul 2013 03:00 101 No people No people
Green 5 25 Jul 2013 09:00 101 No people No people
Green 6 25 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 25 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 26 Jul 2013 03:00 93 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
green
1 7/24/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.9, -28.1
green
2 7/24/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 14.3, -29.9
green
3 7/24/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 14.6, -31.4
green
4 7/25/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 15.1, -33.2
green
5 7/25/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.6, -34.5
green
6 7/25/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16, -35.9
green
7 7/25/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -37.8
green
8 7/26/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 16.6, -39.6
green
8 7/26/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 17.2, -42.4
green
8 7/27/2013 Tropical storm 84 no people no people 17.8, -46.4
green
8 7/27/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 18.3, -50.4
green
8 7/28/2013 Tropical storm 84 no people no people 19, -54.3
green
8 7/29/2013 Tropical storm 84 no people no people 20, -61.5
green
8 7/30/2013 Tropical storm 93 no people 1 million people 20.5, -67.5 Dominican Republic, Haiti, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas
green
8 7/31/2013 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 21, -72 Turks and Caicos Islands
**
Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country Region Province
Dominican Republic Monte Cristi
Dominican Republic Puerto Plata
Haiti Nord-Ouest
Turks and Caicos Islands Turks & Caicos Is.
Haiti Nord-Est
Haiti Nord
Dominican Republic Dajabon
Dominican Republic Espaillat
Dominican Republic Salcedo
Dominican Republic Santiago
Dominican Republic Valverde
Dominican Republic Maria Trinidad S
Bahamas Bahamas

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cockburn Town Turks and Caicos Islands Capital <1000 people
Monte Cristi Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 17000 people
Puerto Plata Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 120000 people
Cap-Haïtien Nord Haiti City 120000 people
Imbert Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 7900 people
Lucas Evangelista de Peña Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City -
Pepillo Salcedo Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 3800 people
Río San Juan Espaillat Dominican Republic City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 27 Jul 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)