Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for JEBI-13 in China, Viet Nam from 31 Jul 2013 06:00 UTC to 03 Aug 2013 06:00 UTC

03 Aug 2013 06 UTC

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Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JEBI-13 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	China, Viet Nam
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	111 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (03 Aug 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	84 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	111 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

84 km/h Current Max.

Up to 32.3 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	31 Jul 2013 00:00	93	No people	No people	China, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic, Viet Nam
2	31 Jul 2013 06:00	93	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic
3	31 Jul 2013 12:00	93	No people	No people	Lao People's Democratic Repbulic, China, Viet Nam
4	31 Jul 2013 18:00	93	No people	No people	Myanmar, China, Viet Nam, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic
5	01 Aug 2013 00:00	93	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic
6	01 Aug 2013 06:00	84	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic
7	01 Aug 2013 12:00	84	No people	No people	Myanmar, China, Viet Nam, Lao People's Democratic Repbulic
8	01 Aug 2013 18:00	93	No people	No people	Lao People's Democratic Repbulic, Myanmar, China, Viet Nam
9	02 Aug 2013 00:00	93	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam
10	02 Aug 2013 06:00	111	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam
11	02 Aug 2013 12:00	93	No people	No people	Viet Nam, China
12	02 Aug 2013 18:00	93	No people	No people	China, Viet Nam
13	03 Aug 2013 00:00	93	No people	No people	Viet Nam, China
14	03 Aug 2013 06:00	84	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	7/31/2013	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15, 116.1
2	7/31/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	15.2, 115.5
3	7/31/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	15.2, 114.8
4	7/31/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	15.3, 114.5
5	8/1/2013	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	15.5, 114
6	8/1/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	16.2, 113.6
7	8/1/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	16.7, 113.1
8	8/1/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	17, 113.3
9	8/2/2013	Tropical storm	84	no people	1.2 million people	17.8, 112.8	China
10	8/2/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	7.1 million people	18.8, 111.7	China
11	8/2/2013 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	11.7 million people	19.8, 110.6	China
12	8/2/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	8.7 million people	20.5, 109.2	China, Viet Nam
13	8/3/2013	Tropical storm	93	no people	13 million people	21.1, 108.2	Viet Nam, China
14	8/3/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	15.5 million people	21.8, 106.4	Viet Nam, China
14	8/3/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	22.9, 103.2	Viet Nam, China
14	8/4/2013 6:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	23.6, 100.3	Myanmar, China

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
China	Hainan
Viet Nam	Quang Ninh
Viet Nam	Lai Chau
Viet Nam	Bac Thai
Viet Nam	Lao Cai
Viet Nam	Lang Son
Viet Nam	Tuyen Quang
Viet Nam	Yen Bai
Viet Nam	Hai Hung
Viet Nam	Ha Noi
Viet Nam	Ha Tay
Viet Nam	Vinh Phu
Viet Nam	Ha Bac
Viet Nam	Hai Phong
China	Guangxi
China	Yunnan
Viet Nam	Cao Bang
Viet Nam	Ha Giang
China	Guangdong

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Hai Phòng	Hai Duong	Vietnam	Major city	590000 people
Lingao	Hainan	China	City	65000 people
Jinjiang	Hainan	China	City	-
Dingcheng	Hainan	China	City	-
Wencheng	Hainan	China	City	-
Jiaji	Hainan	China	City	-
Wancheng	Hainan	China	City	-
Gejiu	Yunnan	China	City	140000 people
Longzhou	Guangxi	China	City	-
Ningming	Guangxi	China	City	-
Lianzhou	Guangxi	China	City	71000 people
Thái Nguyên	Bac Thai	Vietnam	City	130000 people
Beihai	Guangxi	China	City	290000 people
Cam Pha	Quang Ninh	Vietnam	City	130000 people
Hai Duong	Hai Duong	Vietnam	City	57000 people
Thuy U	Hai Duong	Vietnam	City	-
Leicheng	Guangdong	China	City	-
Dongli	Guangdong	China	City	110000 people
Haikou	Hainan	China	City	610000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Mong Cai, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2013 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (215 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 13 of 03 Aug 2013 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Mong Cai	Vietnam	0.8
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Jiangpingxu	China	0.8
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Wanwei	China	0.8
	02 Aug 2013 17:00	Taiping	China	0.8
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Jiangping	China	0.8
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Bailong	China	0.7
	02 Aug 2013 17:00	Longshe	China	0.7
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Baishawan	China	0.7
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Xianmai	China	0.7
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Jiangshan	China	0.7
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Ch'i-sha	China	0.7
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Vinh Thuc	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 05:00	Cot Doai	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 05:00	Cai Kien	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 06:00	Dang Noi	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 06:00	Dam Ha	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 06:00	Dong Dui	Vietnam	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Hsi-niu-chiao	China	0.6
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Dongli	China	0.6
	02 Aug 2013 17:00	Dongshan	China	0.6
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Tung-li	China	0.6
	03 Aug 2013 07:00	Dong Cay	Vietnam	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 07:00	Mong Duong	Vietnam	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Mai-ch'en-hsu	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Maichen	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 18:00	Ma-hsieh	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Guanjing	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Guchengling	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Hsi-ch'ang-hsu	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 14:00	Jinhe	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 14:00	Wai-lo	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Dangjiang	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Dongjian	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 02:00	Beimu	China	0.5
	02 Aug 2013 17:00	Badongxu	China	0.5
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Hsi-ch'ang	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 02:00	Yong'an	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Shagang	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Qianshan	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Houhu	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Beihai	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Gaode	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Yingluo	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Huangpo	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Chiu-wu-ch'uan	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Meilu	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Hai-lu	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 04:00	Qianjiang	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Longtousha	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 02:00	Bailong	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Baisha	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 17:00	Bengtang	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Xingyou	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Boshegang	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 03:00	Yingzai	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 12:00	Puqian	China	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Hai Phong	Vietnam	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Gia Luan	Vietnam	0.4
	03 Aug 2013 02:00	Caotan	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 14:00	Qiaotou	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Huangwu	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Nayan	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 18:00	Shaoyao	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Shuidong	China	0.4
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Haikou	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Longtang	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 15:00	Houhai	China	0.3
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Cuu Doi	Vietnam	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Xiuying	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Ch'i-ching	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Danchang	China	0.3
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Hoang Chau	Vietnam	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Magang	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Chengcun	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Jiangcheng	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 13:00	Doulongcun	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Hsi-t'ou	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Lengzilin	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Pinggang	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Santouzui	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Baipu	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Guangcun	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Dianbai	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Liu-sha-ying	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Liusha	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 10:00	Qinglan	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Rudong	China	0.3
	02 Aug 2013 10:00	Chen Lan	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Eman	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 08:00	Yandun	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Luc Linh	Vietnam	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 11:00	Shangyang	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Taipa	Macau (China)	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Coloane	Macau (China)	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Lau Fau Sha	Hong Kong (China)	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Ngau Kwu Long	Hong Kong (China)	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 16:00	Paipu	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 01:00	Ch'i-shui	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 01:00	Haikang	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 08:00	Huiwen	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Dalangwan	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 06:00	Ban Sen	Vietnam	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 22:00	Beidou	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 22:00	Chen-hai	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 12:00	Haian	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 08:00	Boao	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Luewei	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 16:00	Xinxing	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 17:00	Shuiwei	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Dai Loc	Vietnam	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 14:00	Diancheng	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Nghoung Nhan	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Xi Dua	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Sam Son	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Con Van	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Long Chau	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	An Co	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 09:00	Nam Dong	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Quan Phuong Ha	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Cau Lo	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Ca Lu	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Hoi Thong	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Ba Lang	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Hoang Xa	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Yen Cat	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Diem Phe	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Xa Loan	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Dot Dong	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Nam Son	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Van Lam Trai	Vietnam	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 22:00	Pingsha	China	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 18:00	Basuo	China	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Lien Phu	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Tap Phuc	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Vinh Ngai	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Tien Yen	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Hoa Cam	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Xuan Moc	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Thien Linh	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Trung Thinh	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Trung Nghia	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 11:00	Quan Phuong Trung Trai	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Hau Con	Vietnam	0.2
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Con Soi	Vietnam	0.2
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Dayang	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Guanghai	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Tiantou	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Tonggu	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Chixi	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 14:00	Changhua	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 14:00	Haiwei	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 14:00	Nanluo	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 14:00	Haitou	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Vinh Ang	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Thuan Thien	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Ha Tinh	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Trung Tiet	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Cau Thuong	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Van Trang	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Hai Khau	Vietnam	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Shadi	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	San-tsao	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Fan Kwai Tong	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Beili	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Duntou	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Longyou	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Kiem Long	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Ba Don	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Tho Ngoa	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Lang Loi	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Vinh Son	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Gancheng	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Banqiao	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Lingtou	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Foluo	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Ky Anh	Vietnam	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Hsin-ying	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Taan	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 08:00	Chung-yuan	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 08:00	Hele	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Wanshan	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Lajiwei	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 21:00	Tai Long Wan	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Lo Tik Wan	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Pok Fu Lam	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Wa Fu Estate	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Kennedy Town	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Aberdeen	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Won Hang	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Ly Nhon Thon	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Dong Hoi	Vietnam	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Huangliu	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Sz Pak	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Nam Wan	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Tsuen Wan	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Ha Kwai Chung	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Cheung Sha Wan	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Baimajing	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Hsin-chou	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Ham Tin	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Lo So Shing	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Cua Thon	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Xom Lap	Vietnam	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 18:00	Yinggehai	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Tain Sha Tsui	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Central	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 20:00	Wan Chai	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Chongpo	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 12:00	Chiu-so	China	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Cat Son Phuong	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Mui Lay	Vietnam	0.1
	03 Aug 2013 13:00	Giem Ha Trung	Vietnam	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Pak Sha Au	Hong Kong (China)	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Khitschhung	China	0.1
	02 Aug 2013 19:00	Luzui	China	0.1