Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERNAND-13
in Mexico
26 Aug 2013 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone FERNAND-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
      Maximum storm surge n.a.
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
      Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        56 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 3.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 25 Aug 2013 21:00 74 No people No people Mexico
          Green 2 25 Aug 2013 23:00 93 No people No people Mexico
          Green 3 26 Aug 2013 03:00 84 No people No people Mexico
          Green 4 26 Aug 2013 09:00 74 No people No people Mexico
          Green 5 26 Aug 2013 15:00 56 No people No people

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 8/25/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people 1.2 million people 19.5, -95.5 Mexico
            green
            		 2 8/25/2013 11:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people 1 million people 19.2, -95.8 Mexico
            green
            		 3 8/26/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people 2.6 million people 19.3, -96.2 Mexico
            green
            		 4 8/26/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 74 no people 2.9 million people 19.8, -96.9 Mexico
            green
            		 5 8/26/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 20.3, -97.7 Mexico
            green
            		 5 8/27/2013 Tropical depression 47 no people no people 20.9, -98.8 Mexico
            green
            		 5 8/27/2013 12:00:00 PM Tropical depression 37 no people no people 21.4, -99.9 Mexico
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Mexico Puebla
            Mexico Veracruz

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Jalapa Veracruz Mexico Major city -
            Veracruz Veracruz Mexico Major city 560000 people
            Tlapacoyan Veracruz Mexico City 33000 people
            Teziutlán Puebla Mexico City 60000 people
            Perote Veracruz Mexico City 32000 people
            Misantla Veracruz Mexico City 23000 people
            Coatepec Veracruz Mexico City 48000 people
            Teocelo Veracruz Mexico City 9200 people
            Alvarado Veracruz Mexico City 21000 people
            Poza Rica Veracruz Mexico City 170000 people
            Papantla Veracruz Mexico City 47000 people
            Xiocotepec de Juarez Puebla Mexico City -

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.