Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-13
in Mexico
22 Oct 2013 15 UTC
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  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Mexico
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 204 km/h
      Maximum storm surge
      Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 167 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 204 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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      Wind

        167 km/h Current Max.

        Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 20 Oct 2013 03:00 130 No people No people Mexico
          Green 2 20 Oct 2013 09:00 130 No people No people
          Green 3 20 Oct 2013 15:00 138 No people No people Mexico
          Green 4 20 Oct 2013 21:00 158 No people No people Mexico
          Green 5 21 Oct 2013 03:00 204 No people No people Mexico
          Green 6 21 Oct 2013 09:00 204 No people No people
          Green 7 21 Oct 2013 15:00 204 No people No people
          Green 8 21 Oct 2013 21:00 204 No people No people
          Green 9 22 Oct 2013 03:00 195 No people No people
          Green 10 22 Oct 2013 09:00 185 No people No people
          Green 11 22 Oct 2013 15:00 167 No people No people Mexico

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 10/20/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14, -100.5
            green
            		 2 10/20/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 14.5, -101.2
            green
            		 3 10/20/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people no people 14.9, -101.7
            green
            		 4 10/20/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.6, -101.8
            green
            		 5 10/21/2013 3:00:00 AM Category 2 158 no people no people 15.9, -102
            green
            		 6 10/21/2013 9:00:00 AM Category 3 195 no people no people 16, -102.2
            green
            		 7 10/21/2013 3:00:00 PM Category 3 195 no people no people 16.3, -102.2
            green
            		 8 10/21/2013 9:00:00 PM Category 3 204 no people no people 16.3, -102.2
            green
            		 9 10/22/2013 3:00:00 AM Category 3 195 no people no people 16.4, -101.9
            green
            		 10 10/22/2013 9:00:00 AM10/22/2013 6:00:00 PM Category 3 185 no people 2400 people 16.5, -102 Mexico
            green
            		 11 10/22/2013 3:00:00 PM Category 2 167 no people 2400 people 16.5, -101.9 Mexico
            green
            		 11 10/23/2013 Category 2 158 no people no people 16.4, -102.2
            green
            		 11 10/23/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 148 no people no people 16.2, -102.8
            green
            		 11 10/24/2013 Category 1 138 no people no people 16, -103.7
            green
            		 11 10/24/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 130 no people no people 15.8, -104.9
            green
            		 11 10/25/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people no people 15.5, -108
            green
            		 11 10/26/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people no people 15.5, -111
            green
            		 11 10/27/2013 12:00:00 PM Category 1 121 no people no people 16, -113.5
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

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            StormSurge

            0 m

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 41 of 30 Oct 2013 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)