Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for SONIA-13 in Mexico from 03 Nov 2013 09:00 UTC to 04 Nov 2013 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SONIA-13

in Mexico

04 Nov 2013 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SONIA-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 940000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	01 Nov 2013 09:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
2	01 Nov 2013 15:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
3	01 Nov 2013 21:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
4	02 Nov 2013 03:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
5	02 Nov 2013 09:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
6	02 Nov 2013 15:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
7	02 Nov 2013 21:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
8	03 Nov 2013 03:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
9	03 Nov 2013 09:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
10	03 Nov 2013 15:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
11	03 Nov 2013 21:00	74	No people	No people	Mexico
12	04 Nov 2013 03:00	64	No people	No people	Mexico
13	04 Nov 2013 09:00	56	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	11/1/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.4, -108
2	11/1/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.9, -108.3
3	11/1/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.7, -108.3
4	11/2/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	16.9, -108.4
5	11/2/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.2, -108.7
6	11/2/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.6, -109.1
7	11/2/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	17.7, -109.8	Mexico
8	11/3/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	18.3, -110.1	Mexico
9	11/3/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	18.8, -110	Mexico
10	11/3/2013 3:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	19.9, -109.8
11	11/3/2013 9:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	21.4, -109.1
12	11/4/2013 3:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	940000 people	23.2, -108.1	Mexico
13	11/4/2013 9:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	24.6, -107.3	Mexico
13	11/4/2013 6:00:00 PM	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	25, -107	Mexico

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Mexico	Baja California Sur
Mexico	Durango
Mexico	Sinaloa

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Culiacán	Sinaloa	Mexico	Major city	540000 people
El Dorado	Sinaloa	Mexico	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.