Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GILLIAN-14 in Christmas Island from 08 Mar 2014 12:00 UTC to 25 Mar 2014 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GILLIAN-14

in Christmas Island

25 Mar 2014 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GILLIAN-14 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Christmas Island
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	259 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.1 m (22 Mar 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Christmas I.)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	74 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	259 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1500 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	08 Mar 2014 12:00	101	No people	No people	Australia
2	09 Mar 2014 00:00	93	No people	No people	Australia
3	09 Mar 2014 12:00	93	No people	No people	Australia
4	10 Mar 2014 00:00	93	No people	No people	Australia
5	10 Mar 2014 12:00	101	No people	No people	Australia
6	11 Mar 2014 00:00	64	No people	No people
7	21 Mar 2014 06:00	167	No people	No people	Christmas Island
8	21 Mar 2014 18:00	167	No people	No people	Christmas Island
9	22 Mar 2014 06:00	167	No people	No people	Christmas Island
10	22 Mar 2014 18:00	222	No people	No people
11	23 Mar 2014 06:00	204	No people	No people
12	23 Mar 2014 18:00	259	No people	No people
13	24 Mar 2014 06:00	222	No people	No people
14	24 Mar 2014 18:00	167	No people	No people
15	25 Mar 2014 06:00	111	No people	No people
16	25 Mar 2014 18:00	74	No people	No people

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	3/8/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-11.3, 140
2	3/9/2014	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-12.8, 140.3
3	3/9/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	<1000 people	-12.8, 140.8	Australia
4	3/10/2014	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-13.5, 141.6	Australia
5	3/10/2014 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-14.4, 141	Australia
6	3/11/2014	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-15.5, 141.7	Australia
7	3/21/2014 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	64	no people	1500 people	-9.6, 108.2	Christmas Island
8	3/21/2014 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	1500 people	-10, 106.1	Christmas Island
9	3/22/2014 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	101	no people	1500 people	-10.3, 105	Christmas Island
10	3/22/2014 6:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-12.3, 104.4
11	3/23/2014 6:00:00 AM	Category 3	204	no people	no people	-13.7, 103.6
12	3/23/2014 6:00:00 PM	Category 5	259	no people	no people	-15.4, 103.5
13	3/24/2014 6:00:00 AM	Category 4	222	no people	no people	-17.2, 103.5
14	3/24/2014 6:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	no people	no people	-18.7, 103.8
15	3/25/2014 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-19.6, 103.9
16	3/25/2014 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-21, 103.5
16	3/26/2014 6:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-21.9, 102.3

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Christmas Island	Christmas I.

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
The Settlement		Christmas Island	Capital	<1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.1m in The Settlement, Christmas Island. This height is estimated for 22 Mar 2014 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (3 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 25 Mar 2014 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22 Mar 2014 02:00	The Settlement	Christmas Island	0.1
	22 Mar 2014 02:00	South Point	Christmas Island	0.1
	22 Mar 2014 04:00	Losan	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.