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Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17
in Ireland, United Kingdomfrom 09 Oct 2017 09:00 UTC to 14 Oct 2017 15:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone OPHELIA-17
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Ireland, United Kingdom as of 14 Oct 2017 15:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a low humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 28 of tropical cyclone OPHELIA-17 issued at 16 Oct 2017 03:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000410, Latest episode ID: 28, inserted at 14 Oct 2017 12:50 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0
  • Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries:

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 710000 people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected country

Country
Ireland
United Kingdom

Affected provinces

Region Province Country Population
Munster Ireland 1 million people
Connacht Ireland 420000 people
Ulster Ireland 230000 people
Northern Ireland United Kingdom 1.5 million people
Scotland United Kingdom 5.1 million people

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Trá Lí Kerry (Ciarraí) Ireland City 19000 people 2361 km
Gaillimh Galway City (Cathair na Gaillimhe) Ireland City 57000 people 2473 km
Caisleán an Bharraigh Mayo (Maigh Eo) Ireland City 7500 people 2513 km
Sligo Sligo (Sligeach) Ireland City 18000 people 2583 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airports
Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Caherciveen Reenroe CHE unknown 0 2311 km
Kerry County Airport KIR 30 Civ. Paved Yes 6500 2361 km
Inishmore Kilronan IOR unknown 0 2431 km
Inisheer INQ unknown 0 2437 km
Spiddal Connemara NNR unknown 0 2452 km
Carnmore GWY 27 Civ. Paved Yes 4400 2481 km
Belmullet BLY unknown 0 2517 km
Knock International NOC 203 Civ. Paved Yes 7500 2537 km
Collooney SXL 6 Civ. Paved Yes 3900 2578 km
Donegal Carrickfin CFN 8 Civ. Paved Yes 4900 2654 km
Tiree TRE 12 Civ. Paved No 4800 2838 km
Barra North Bay BRR unknown Civ. Unpaved No 4900 2861 km
Benbecula BEB 6 Civ. Paved Yes 5400 2904 km
Stornoway SYY 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7200 3006 km
Major ports (first 20 records)
Name LOCODE Country Distance
Crow Head Ireland 2283 km
Castletown Bere IECTB Ireland 2302 km
Bentwaters IEBEN Ireland 2304 km
Valencia Harbor Ireland 2306 km
Ventry Ireland 2320 km
Kenmare Ireland 2333 km
Castlemaine Harbour Ireland 2346 km
Fenit IEFEN Ireland 2355 km
Tralee IETRA Ireland 2359 km
Kilkee Ireland 2397 km
Kilrush IEKLR Ireland 2401 km
Tarbert IETAB Ireland 2401 km
Aran Island Ireland 2432 km
Lahinch Ireland 2433 km
Clifden IECLI Ireland 2451 km
Killary Harbour Ireland 2468 km
Galway IEGWY Ireland 2473 km
Westport Ireland 2498 km
Blacksod Point Ireland 2502 km
Belmullet Ireland 2516 km
Hydro-dams
Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Cliff Erne 1950 2615 km

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical depression 56 km/h (34 mph) 74 km/h (46 mph) no people 31.1, -39.9
2
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) 83 km/h (52 mph) no people 31.4, -39.9
3
GREEN
09 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (57 mph) no people 31.5, -39.6
4
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 32.3, -39
5
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 31.9, -38.8
6
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 31.5, -38.3
7
GREEN
10 Oct 2017 21:00 Tropical storm 93 km/h (57 mph) 111 km/h (69 mph) no people 31.1, -38
8
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 03:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) 102 km/h (63 mph) no people 30.7, -37.6
9
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) 120 km/h (75 mph) no people 30.2, -37
10
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 111 km/h (69 mph) 139 km/h (86 mph) no people 30, -36.5
11
GREEN
11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) 148 km/h (92 mph) no people 30, -36.1
12
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 30, -35.7
13
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) no people 30.3, -35.6
14
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) 185 km/h (115 mph) no people 30.5, -35.6
15
GREEN
12 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 30.4, -35.5
16
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) 204 km/h (126 mph) no people 30.7, -34.7
17
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) 204 km/h (126 mph) no people 31.1, -33.9
18
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 31.8, -32.9
19
GREEN
13 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 32.3, -31.8
20
GREEN
14 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 33, -30.6
21
GREEN
14 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) no people 33.9, -28.6
22
GREEN
14 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 3 185 km/h (115 mph) 222 km/h (138 mph) no people 34.8, -26.6
22
GREEN
15 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 2 176 km/h (109 mph) 213 km/h (132 mph) no people 36.5, -23
22
GREEN
15 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) 204 km/h (126 mph) no people 40.5, -18
22
GREEN
16 Oct 2017 00:00 Category 2 157 km/h (98 mph) 194 km/h (120 mph) 15000 people 46.5, -14
22
GREEN
16 Oct 2017 12:00 Category 1 139 km/h (86 mph) 167 km/h (103 mph) 710000 people 51.5, -11
22
GREEN
17 Oct 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 km/h (46 mph) 93 km/h (57 mph) no people 59, -6

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 09 Oct 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 93 No people affected  
2 09 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 120 No people affected  
3 09 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 No people affected  
4 10 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
5 10 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
6 10 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
7 10 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
8 11 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
9 11 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 139 No people affected  
10 11 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 130 No people affected  
11 11 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 139 No people affected Portugal, Ireland
12 12 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 148 30 thousand Ireland
13 12 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 1 148 10 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
14 12 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 20 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
15 12 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 300 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
16 13 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 167 930 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
17 13 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 167 650 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
18 13 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 2 157 600 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
19 13 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 2 157 240 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
20 14 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 2 157 1.1 million Ireland, United Kingdom
21 14 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 157 920 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
22 14 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 3 185 720 thousand Ireland, United Kingdom
23 14 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 3 185 560 thousand Ireland
24 15 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 3 185 2.5 million Ireland, United Kingdom
25 15 Oct 2017 09:00 Category 2 167 1.7 million Ireland, United Kingdom
26 15 Oct 2017 15:00 Category 1 148 7.9 million Ireland, United Kingdom
27 15 Oct 2017 21:00 Category 1 139 2.9 million Ireland, United Kingdom
28 16 Oct 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 1.2 million Ireland, United Kingdom

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.