Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OSCAR-18
in Iceland, Ireland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands, Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Norway, Sweden

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OSCAR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Iceland, Ireland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands, Svalbard and Jan Mayen, Norway, Sweden
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (01 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability -- (Iceland)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

167 km/h Current

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 27 Oct 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 2 27 Oct 2018 09:00 130 No people No people
Green 3 27 Oct 2018 15:00 130 No people No people
Green 4 27 Oct 2018 21:00 130 No people No people
Green 5 28 Oct 2018 03:00 139 No people No people
Green 6 28 Oct 2018 09:00 139 No people No people
Green 7 28 Oct 2018 15:00 148 No people No people
Green 8 28 Oct 2018 21:00 157 No people No people
Green 9 29 Oct 2018 03:00 157 No people No people
Green 10 29 Oct 2018 09:00 157 No people No people
Green 11 29 Oct 2018 15:00 167 No people No people
Green 12 29 Oct 2018 21:00 167 90 thousand No people United Kingdom, Faroe Islands
Green 13 30 Oct 2018 03:00 167 130 thousand No people Iceland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands
Green 14 30 Oct 2018 09:00 167 420 thousand No people Iceland, United Kingdom, Faroe Islands

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 27 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 26.7, -45.7
GREEN
2 27 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 27.3, -47
GREEN
3 27 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 27.3, -48.4
GREEN
4 27 Oct 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 26.9, -50.7
GREEN
5 28 Oct 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.7, -51.4
GREEN
6 28 Oct 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -52.6
GREEN
7 28 Oct 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.5, -53.8
GREEN
8 28 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 25.7, -55.5
GREEN
9 29 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 25.6, -57
GREEN
10 29 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25.7, -57.8
GREEN
11 29 Oct 2018 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 25.8, -58.4
GREEN
12 29 Oct 2018 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 26.5, -58.5
GREEN
13 30 Oct 2018 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 27.4, -58.3
GREEN
14 30 Oct 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 28.6, -58.2
GREEN
14 30 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 30.6, -57.1
GREEN
14 31 Oct 2018 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 34, -54.3
GREEN
14 31 Oct 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 38.5, -50.5
GREEN
14 01 Nov 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 43.5, -46.7
GREEN
14 02 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 50.5, -35.5
GREEN
14 03 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 93 420000 people no people 57.5, -21.5
GREEN
14 04 Nov 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 63, -9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Saint Shotts, Canada. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2018 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (40 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 30 Oct 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2018 07:00 Saint Shotts Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Cape Race Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Fermeuse Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 19:00 Little Burnt Bay Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 19:00 Lewisporte Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Trepassey Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Portugal Cove South Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Cappahayden Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Cape Broyle Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Renews Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Ferryland Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Tors Cove Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Mobile Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Frederickton Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Witless Bay Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Point Lance Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Branch Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Mosquito Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Saint Vincent's Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Gaskiers Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Bay Bulls Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Petty Harbour Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 St. John's Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Saint Bride's Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 North Harbour Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 18:00 Admirals Beach Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 18:00 Saint Mary's Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Riverhead Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 17:00 Saint Josephs Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 15:00 Indian Pond Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Kelligrews Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Foxtrap Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Bell Island Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 16:00 Topsail Canada  0.1
02 Nov 2018 00:00 Campbellton Canada  0.1
02 Nov 2018 00:00 Loon Bay Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Brigus Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Harbour Main Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Holyrood Canada  0.1
01 Nov 2018 08:00 Angels Cove Canada  0.1